UNH: Carol Shea-Porter Beating ALL Rivals

LOL (4.00 / 5)

You just have to love Carol Shea-Porter. She does her job, ignores the silliness that Republicans try to throw at her, and sails along.  

When I think about all the personal money Guinta and Mahoney have put into this race - well, I smile. Go CSP!!

BTW - this is supposed to be the more Republican of the two districts?  



"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    

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by: Kathy Sullivan 2 @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 17:18:41 PM CDT

It's good for the economy. It keeps the money circulating. n/t (0.00 / 0)

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by: hannah @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 17:21:24 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Don't believe what you like and disbelieve what you don't like. (0.00 / 0)

Polling is part of the Republican strategy to "prepare the field" for eventual victory by depressing the opposition and energizing the base.

The whole thing is very dismissive of the electorate, which actually decides.

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by: hannah @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 17:19:43 PM CDT

Given the year's Very Serious Narrative, (4.00 / 1)

The closer we get, the more voters are paying attention, the better for Dems.

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 17:28:20 PM CDT

Remember, Andy's never had Carol winning (4.00 / 5)

Ever.  This is as good as it gets for Carol in Andy's polls.

Still early...etc...etc.  But I have to think her integrity and authenticity drive these numbers, especially as people start to get a look at the empty shirts opposing her.

I think people trust her honest workman-like approach and don't feel they have to agree with every vote.

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by: Bill Duncan @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 17:31:34 PM CDT

Smith will never let even one of his own polls (4.00 / 1)

get in the way of throwing cold water on Carol.

I don't need to tell you what a dismissive media environment CSP has to endure in her district.  That includes, imo, her own alma mater's polling shop.

birch, finch, beech

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by: Dean Barker @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 17:35:30 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

I heard Andy Smith (4.00 / 3)

on The Exchange the other day, saying that Jeb Bradley lost because he had an "R" next to his name. This is historic revisionism of epic proportions! Or, downright mendacity.

Andy Smith should be introduced with a disclaimer that warns listeners that he's a personal friend of Jeb Bradley's.  

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by: susanthe @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 17:33:23 PM CDT

Well... (4.00 / 2)

I note this sort of thing on polls I don't like, so I have to note it on polls I do like, too. A 6% margin of error is high enough for me to not feel very much confidence in the results.  

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!

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by: RealNRH @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 18:20:45 PM CDT

Absolutely. It's way too high. (4.00 / 1)

This is the perennial problem.

With such big gains against all rivals, I can basically conclude that there is good movement in our direction, and for the first time, but not much more than that.

birch, finch, beech

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by: Dean Barker @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 18:37:32 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Adding: (4.00 / 2)

And, like it or not (I hate it myself), the UNH poll probably has greater value as a pundit spin narrative setting device, which in and of itself is a factor in the arcs of races, than it has value as a describer of the electorate today.

So this is a useful bit of momentum for us, however fuzzy the precise temperature guage it might be.

birch, finch, beech

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by: Dean Barker @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 18:40:13 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Jeb Bradley town hall (4.00 / 2)

I attended one of Bradley's town halls in Manchester, and I remember that he told us that he hoped we would be hearing alot about his son because he was heading to college and he was going to be concentrating on improving his golf game.  This was when Bradley was voting to send the sons and daughters of other NH citizens to war with Iraq.  So I find it hard to believe that the R next to his name was his only problem.  CSP works hard on legislation during the week to benefit people in NH, and works hard on weekends to get out and meet her constituents.  She is the real deal.

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by: chrisv @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 21:22:00 PM CDT

Not to defend Bradley, (0.00 / 0)

But most Americans are not in the military, and parents do not get to decide whether their children enlist. Leave his son out of it.

Respecting those who serve does not mean disrespecting those who don't.

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 21:46:02 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Isn't this a little harsh? (0.00 / 0)

Read the comment more closely.  I don't actually see a critique of Jeb's son.

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by: Bill Duncan @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 23:19:54 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Implication (0.00 / 0)

Obviously everyone in the military is someone's son or daughter, and they should only be put in danger when absolutely necessary, but he talked about his son playing golf and you connected that to the war. I think that connection should not be made.

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 23:54:34 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Inference, not implication. (0.00 / 0)

The comment, to me, spoke to Jeb's cavalier attitude about war while he was hiding behind the Bushes.

Hollow piety.  Relax.


"Physical concepts are free creations of the human mind, and are not, however it may seem, uniquely determined by the external world." A. Einstein

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by: StraffordDem @ Fri Jul 30, 2010 at 07:55:32 AM CDT

[ Parent ]

Oh, those wacky pundits... (4.00 / 1)

...They'll just keep on predicting CSP's demise, and keep on and keep on and keep on, in hopes that one day she will bow before the superiority of Conventional Wisdom.

C'mon, Carol. If you keep de-pantsing the Chattering Class, they might have to get real jobs someday.  

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by: jvwalt @ Thu Jul 29, 2010 at 23:07:53 PM CDT

I will never forget (4.00 / 2)

my first venture, as a political novice, into Jeb Bradley's town hall meeting in Northwood.  Must have been 2003-04, I think.  He actually told us that he had to follow the party line and vote with them or NH would not get any federal goodies!  I was so shocked that he had so little initiative, courage or smarts in representing us, that when Carol came along, I was eager to jump right in with her.

Carol takes good care of NH, even if some of us don't realize it.  The bamboozlers of tax cuts and spending on their buddies running against her would be leave NH unrepresented again.

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by: Lucy Edwards @ Fri Jul 30, 2010 at 04:56:08 AM CDT

Tone-deafness (4.00 / 1)

Doug - I was not critical of Bradley's son, but rather of the father for not being aware of how elitist his comments came across.  Believe me, I understand that parents do not get to choose whether their children serve in the military, and I have no disrespect for those that don't.  

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by: chrisv @ Fri Jul 30, 2010 at 07:01:49 AM CDT

Wait until folks get (0.00 / 0)

a side by side comparison during debates.  Carol has made herself a formidable candidate and debater - mostly because she knows what she's talking about.


"Physical concepts are free creations of the human mind, and are not, however it may seem, uniquely determined by the external world." A. Einstein

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by: StraffordDem @ Fri Jul 30, 2010 at 07:57:55 AM CDT