Standard Disclaimer: it's from ARG:Paul Hodes 40%
John E. Sununu 34%
Undecided: 26% Here are the poll details:558 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire. Of the 558 interviews, 150 were among Republicans, 174 Democrats, and 234 undeclared voters. The interviews were conducted June 27 through 29, 2009.
The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 558 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. I know that Ds have a registered voter advantage for the first time in, um, forever, but it does seem a little lopsided as 150-174, no?
Of great interest (given the boundaries of the polling outfit) is that Paul scored 3% more undeclareds than John E., and 11% more women. Good luck winning in New Hampshire without women and undeclareds!
That said, with numbers like these, I sure hope the Sprinter puts his sneakers on again and runs this race.
Adding: note carefully the timing of this poll. Sununu Senior tells the world on Friday that Junior will make a decision in a week, and then the poll starts up on Saturday. ARG is (in)famous for no revealing who pays for their polls. The results, while discouraging for Junior, benefit the Ayotte boomleteers. Hmmm... |
