| There is none.
The market opportunity for vaccine sellers is about 18 months long, based on similar outbreaks. It takes six months to grow sufficient quantities of the vaccine.
If you are a Dynamic Young Entrepreneur in early 2009 and you go looking for venture capital money from Dynamic Young Angels, you will find no funding. The business plan drops off a cliff in mid 2011. Better things to do with our money, they will say.
That wonderful marketplace competition that could create news strains of vaccine at lower prices? It takes too long. Maybe it will work for the common cold (still waiting for that), but not for a short-lived threat - excuse me, "opportunity."
If you want to save lives when a swine flu epidemic hits, don't call the Chamber of Commerce.
Call the government.
Or even call Big Pharma, an industry that is well insulated from free market forces by barriers to entry, regulation, and patent law.
But don't call your libertarian friends. Ron Paul can only preside over the funerals. |