New UNH poll: Shaheen +17 over Sununu

Good News (0.00 / 0)

Although I don't trust polls at all, this is a good indication that Shaheen is the best candidate to beat Sununu in the fall.

Hope the campaign uses his donors against him, if you look at the PACs that donate to him, you can beat him just on that, Oil, RX, 'Energy', other usual suspects.

Can't wait to see those two debate this fall.

Did see that Halliburton donated to his campaign

HALLIBURTON COMPANY PAC 05/25/2007 1000.00 (FEC.GOV)

Question, if the Halliburton CEO and Chairman are located in their Dubai HQ does it make it illegal to contribute to US Elections (they do have a HQ in Houston but corporate HQ is in Dubai now I believe.)

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by: sdoyle @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 15:35:40 PM CST

I believe Halliburton is still legally incorporated in Delaware. (0.00 / 0)

Therefore, it is technically a US company.

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 15:50:32 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Is there an election lawyer in the house? (0.00 / 0)

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by: sdoyle @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 16:01:27 PM CST

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My understanding (4.00 / 1)

and IANAL:

1. Corporations cannot make campaign donations, period. Regardless of where they are incorporated.
2. Like any other American citizen, a corporate executive who is a US citizen can make campaign donations.
3. Legal contributors can also join together to pool their donations into a PAC - which might be called "Treehuggers PAC" or "Halliburton PAC." The PAC is not tied to the corporation.
4. So: no problem with these contributions.

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by: elwood @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 16:46:28 PM CST

[ Parent ]

A very low number of undecideds. (0.00 / 0)

Perhaps the verdict is in on our junior Bush enabler.

"But, in the unlikely story that is America, there has never been anything false about hope." Si se puede. Yes we can.  

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by: Paul Twomey @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 15:50:51 PM CST

Bush enabling will be the issue that cripples him. (0.00 / 0)

Bush is hated in NH, with only 26% approving.  Sununu votes with Bush over 90% of the time.

Remember Lincoln Chafee?  On election day 2006, the 2/3 of Rhode Island voters said they liked the guy.  In fact, Chafee's biggest claim to fame in his Senate career had been opposing Bush from within his own party, being the only Republican Senator to vote against AUMF-Iraq.  But he was a vote for Republicans to hold the technical majority in the Senate, so the people of Rhode Island, who overwhelmingly liked him personally, kicked him out.

Now we ask ourselves: considering that Sununu is known for voting WITH Bush, not against...do 2/3 of New Hampshirites actually like him?  I doubt it.  Even if they do, I'll bet they don't like him enough to let him sit in their Senate seat for another six years.

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 15:59:59 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Yahoo! (0.00 / 0)

Sununu has been showing up in New Hampshire, trying to funnel grants to various agencies, and all those other things, but it does not seem to be helping, does it?  Of the folks listed in the poll (it excluded Governor Lynch's numbers), Jeanne Shaheen had the highest net favorability of all, at a plus 34%.  CSP was second with 26%, Gregg third with 25%, and Hodes at 19%. The fact that Governor Shaheen has a plus 34% shows that the reservoir of good will towards her in NH remains very, very high.

CSP's favorable rating was up to 43% from 33%, which is  really great; the Republican effort to go after her seems to be helping, not hurting, her.  




"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    

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by: Kathy Sullivan 2 @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 16:29:50 PM CST

You scared me with that (0.00 / 0)

19% for Hodes until I realized I skipped over the word "net"!

Glad to see on the .pdf that his favs have been rising steadily since taking office.

birch, finch, beech

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by: Dean Barker @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 18:07:29 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Why am I always the skunk at the garden party? (4.00 / 4)

I admit it feels great to see numbers like these, but please don't think defeating John Sununu is going to be easy. Please don't be complacent. Jeanne Shaheen will need all of your help to beat Sununu. Sununu's friends in the oil and gas industries are going to do everything they can to help him keep his Senate seat. As Kathy and Paul know all too well, his friends were willing to commit federal crimes to help him last time - and in 2002, but for a couple of weeks in October, Sununu was always ahead in the polls. God only knows what they will be willing to do this time, when the environment ain't so good for him.

I'm a Jeanne Shaheen friend and staffer.

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by: Judy Reardon @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 16:49:09 PM CST

No, it won't be easy. (0.00 / 0)

But it is fun to see such numbers, especially as they aren't form ARG.

As it won't be easy, I sure hope Sununu's record of achievement we've been compiling here will be regularly used and perused.

birch, finch, beech

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by: Dean Barker @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 17:08:48 PM CST

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Pepe Lepu agrees n/t (0.00 / 0)

Not in the shot

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by: JonnyBBad @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 17:44:14 PM CST

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Is Buckey still in? (0.00 / 0)

If so, why wasn't he included in the poll?  If not, disregard this entire post.

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by: fontasj @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 17:40:15 PM CST

answers (4.00 / 1)

1. yes
2. you need to check with UNH; he also did not poll any candidates against Hodes.



"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    

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by: Kathy Sullivan 2 @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 17:43:20 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Since "other" and "undecided" (0.00 / 0)

are only polling at 1% and 7% respectively, it doesn't look like there's a lot of room for Buckey to carve out for himself.  

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by: Laura Clawson @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 19:33:28 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Perhaps because no one has heard of him? (4.00 / 1)

Jeanne is up by 18 points for a reason -- people value her leadership.  They respect her competence and progressive values.  

This respect was earned in six years as our governor.  It was earned by expanding kindergarden access, providing health care to working poor children, fighting for civil rights, and protecting New Hampshire's environment.  

John Sununu will be a tough opponent.  His family is 9-0 in New Hampshire elections during the past quarter-century, and his folks won't go quietly.  Having McCain at the top of the ticket should help him.  We need our best candidate in this race -- one that has already earned the trust of the electorate.

Jay Buckey is a good guy, but he is a virtual unknown outside the Blue Hampshire family.  If he wants to be polled -- much less serve as a viable candidate -- he has a lot of work ahead of him.

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by: Dartmouth Dem @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 20:15:21 PM CST

[ Parent ]

I haven't been paying much attention to the Senate race (4.00 / 1)

but I'm pretty sure that the last time I checked, Buckey hadn't dropped out (although I had this strange feeling today that he had for some reason).

I don't have any personal relationship with his candidacy and will admit that I haven't seriously considered him either - not bitterness but definitely dismay at Marchand's early exit.

That being said, I find it mildly rude to pretend like Shaheen's primary opponent isn't even there.  Apparently I got a call from her today while I was out, saying she wanted to chat, so it seems to me that she's aware of his presence and isn't taking things for granted, so why should we?  

We can't blame anyone here for the UNH survey deciding not to poll what you are calling a "virtual unknown."  However, I do take issue with you putting words in the mouths of the voter's polled.

For people like me and the one you're responding to, who aren't very familiar with either candidate, your approach strikes me as impertinent and may be a disservice to the Shaheen campaign.

It's time we steer by the stars, and not the lights of every passing ship

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by: Andy Edwards @ Tue Feb 12, 2008 at 03:33:42 AM CST

[ Parent ]

Do you have any tips? (4.00 / 1)

I'm pretty sure that the last time I checked, Buckey hadn't dropped out (although I had this strange feeling today that he had for some reason).

Andy, do you get those strange feeligs very often? If you do, do you have any tips on who is going to win at Daytona this weekend, and also, I would like to discuss my March Madness pool selections in a few weeks!



"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    

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by: Kathy Sullivan 2 @ Tue Feb 12, 2008 at 08:03:25 AM CST

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I'd like to know who's going to win in Ohio. (0.00 / 0)

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Tue Feb 12, 2008 at 10:10:13 AM CST

[ Parent ]

Buckey (0.00 / 0)

Whatever, he is in my heart. As we go forward, remember the income tax veto and the veto of the death penalty. Winning is fine but memory is also cherished. It is the nature of character that it is repeated.  

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by: xteeth @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 17:45:13 PM CST

"The Nature of Character" (4.00 / 3)

When Jeanne Shaheen ran for governor she said she supported the death penalty and said she'd veto an income tax. In my book, character is keeping your word.  

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by: Dartmouth Dem @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 20:07:18 PM CST

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That is McCain's greatest strength. (0.00 / 0)

Agree or disagree, you know where he stands.

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 20:29:03 PM CST

[ Parent ]

straight talk express? (0.00 / 0)

Sorry, that train has left the station.

One of our jobs this fall is going to be to show all the independents out there that McCain flip-flops just like any other politician. Don't drink that flavor of Kool-Aid, my friends, consistency is definitely not a McCain virtue.

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by: michael57 @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 21:28:51 PM CST

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It's a perception that continues. Don't take it to mean I have an affinity to McCain (0.00 / 0)

I recently posted my transcription of the Arizona Senator's stump speech:

My friends,
When Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan, foot-soldier Reagan Revolution tax cuts, Vietnam POW torture.  My friends, no surrender The Democrats Ronald Reagan Hillary Clinton; Islamic extremism, 9/11, Vietnam.  Rumsfeld Petraeus the surge Al Qaeda new strategy Governor Romney, foot-soldier Ronald Reagan the '80s.  Cut spending, my friends, and entitlements Barack Obama surrender Ronald Reagan the terrorists.  Conservative Republican strict constructionist judges, sanctity of life Hillary Clinton Vietnam.  My friends, secure the border first terrorists the war in Iraq no surrender.  Consequences The Democrats POW in Vietnam torture.

--
"Act as if ye have faith and faith shall be given to you." -Aaron Sorkin

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 21:36:42 PM CST

[ Parent ]

nice summary! (0.00 / 0)

I can almost see his face clench and unclench like a fist as I read it.

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by: michael57 @ Tue Feb 12, 2008 at 07:49:14 AM CST

[ Parent ]

Big change from six years ago (4.00 / 1)

When UNH polled in February 2002, Sununu was beating Shaheen 49 to 42.

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by: Yellow Dog @ Mon Feb 11, 2008 at 19:01:26 PM CST