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NHIOP: Shea-Porter, Hodes, Lynch All Ahead

by: Dean Barker

Mon Oct 06, 2008 at 20:30:54 PM EDT


Can't find a direct link yet to the St. A's NHIOP congressional poll, but the 'Ticker has the advance word on it.  Here's what I can put together, more when I can get a link:
Carol Shea-Porter: 42%
Jeb Bradley: 35%
undecided: 21%

Paul Hodes: 35%
Jennifer Horn: 18%
undecided: 45%

John Lynch: 73%
Joe Kenney: 7%

Conducted 9/25-9/30, MoE 5% for CD1,2 races, 3.5 for NH-Gov, sample: 832 likely voters.

The MoE is too high, the sample size as yet unknown, and the number of undecideds in NH-02 positively bizarre, but FWIW.

I'm really happy to see Carol doing so well against Jeb despite all the slime being thrown at her.

Morning Update: Jennifer Donahue's equally bizarre explanation of the high undecided number in CD2:

"The 2nd Congressional District is a rollercoaster," Donahue said.

..."This may be in part because voters here do not know the GOP primary winner Jennifer Horn well, and are trying to get to know her. This district is traditionally volatile, and voters in the 2nd District are particularly independent.

Volatile? What now? CD2 has a pretty stable trend line of going Yankee Red to Blue, masked a little by Bass' mostly quiet and backbencher incumbency for a couple cycles too many. To think that CD2 general election voters, who are used to having Republicans like Charlie Bass, could go for a captive of the far right like anti-stem cell research Jennifer S. Palin-Horn, is crazy. Fergus didn't want a nominee who would accurately reflect the GOP tenor in the second district (Jim Steiner, e.g.), and he got one that doesn't.
Dean Barker :: NHIOP: Shea-Porter, Hodes, Lynch All Ahead
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poor Jeb Bradley (4.00 / 1)
he's the McCain of the NH-01 race - all he has to offer are smears and lies against Carol Shea-Porter who has made good on her promise to represent the bottom 99% of us. Jeb has begun to sound as crabby and desperate as McCain.  

member of the professional left  

No. McCain is the Jeb Bradley of the national election. (0.00 / 0)
"He's everything that's wrong with Washington."

--
"Don't lose your grip on the dreams of the past; you must fight just to keep them alive!"

@DougLindner


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