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This was totally unexpected! Totally!

by: Michael Marsh

Tue Mar 31, 2009 at 08:10:15 AM EDT


(Not a NH-based story, but an important one, and one that reaffirmed my ability to be shaken to the core by Bush era malfeasance. - promoted by Dean Barker)

One of the signs that our late, unlamented president was losing his Capitol Hill mojo was when Congress rejected his cockeyed plan in 2005 to privatize Social Security by investing our tax money in Wall Street. Bush argued that those who opposed this plan had no faith in the markets, but ultimately good sense prevailed and he didn't get his way.

Unfortunately, Bush did not lose his personal belief in the magic ability of "the market" to solve all problems. In 2007, he appointed an investment banker from Lehman Brothers who shared his belief named Chuck Millard to run the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation along proper free-market principles.

Michael Marsh :: This was totally unexpected! Totally!
So what is the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation? It is one of those uber-important government agencies that nobody knows much about but that do a lot of good for a lot of people. Specifically, it is the insurer-of-last-resort for the pension plans that 40 million private-sector workers depend on for their retirement. If a corporation's pension plan goes belly-up- because of poor investment decisions or management looting- the PBGC steps in and guarantees the continued payment of pension benefits.

Now, a smart person would say that an insurer-of-last-resort must invest in different assets than the companies it is insuring do, in order to provide diversification. Since corporate pension funds invest in stocks, their insurer, who would be called on to bail out the pension funds if the stock strategy didn't exactly work out as planned, should not also invest in stocks. Mr. Millard disagreed.

A reasonable person would say that the insurer-of-last-resort should be extraordinarily careful about where it invests its funds. Until 2007, the PBGC had always invested in ultra-safe bonds. But Mr. Millard, the wunderkind of Lehman Brothers, decided owning bonds was too boring. Any fool off the street could have said that last year was perhaps not a good time to invest in the stock market. Mr. Millard demurred.
So what was the result of Mr. Millard's peculiar faith in US capital stock markets? By last September, our guarantor of corporate pensions had lost about a quarter of it's assets.  But that was before the market really tanked. It's down about 50% or so now.  We are talking about tens of billions of dollars lost, money that the taxpayers will have to replace, especially now as old-line companies like Chrysler with unfunded pension liabilities face bankruptcy.  I can almost hear his old boss saying, "You're doin' a heckuva job, Milly!"

Mr. Millard's last day on the job was the day Barack Obama was inaugurated. But he remains undisturbed by the less-than-stellar results of his investment strategy. When asked if he had made a mistake, he replied: "Ask me in 20 years. The question is whether policymakers will have the fortitude to stick with it." This is the way a certain kind of mind works: if the new guys undo all of his mistakes, it will be their fault.

I wish Mr. Millard a wonderful future. No doubt he does not have to depend on a government guaranteed pension to secure his retirement, so perhaps he'll have one.

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I read the other day that the financial sector makes up (0.00 / 0)
20% of the nation's GDP.  How did playing with money get to be a product?
To what extent has recent "growth" in the GDP actually been composed of inflating Wall Street values?

Greenspan said he made a mistake.  His is not the only one in the fraternal order of economists' quiver.  


The figure I've heard is 5% (0.00 / 0)
If 20% is true, that's a huge shift. Do you remember where you read that?

[ Parent ]
Ugh (4.00 / 1)
Bush really ran the term "free-market" in to the ground.  Kind of like how he destroyed the word "conservative".  This particular vignette of Bush's crony capitalism says it all - I wonder if Millard got something on the back end for the equities he picked to invest in.

"[Brinck Slattery is a] political attack dog for hire" =Ray Buckley

[ Parent ]
The question that I couldn't answer (0.00 / 0)
from the Globe article:  does this agency also insure state and federal government employee pensions?

I don't know what's more shocking about this story: that an insurer would gamble its very business on risky stocks, or that the moron who implemented the program is unrepentant and taking the "history will judge us" approach.

This was essentially a hidden way to divert other people's money via the Federal Gov't into Wall St.'s coffers.  Maddening.


I am pretty sure the PBGC is for private pensions only (4.00 / 1)
They provide insurance to pay the pensions of companies that have defaulted or gone bankrupt. There wouldn't be a need for insurance of last resort for public pensions because we (the taxpayers) fill that role quite admirably.

I don't know if Millard acted the way he did because he is actually a fool with blind faith in the market or because he is a creature of Wall Street and simply didn't care about the people whose retirements he was theoretically hired to protect. I presume the latter.

My guess is that what happened is that the companies paying PBGC insurance were feeling the pinch to their profits because of the amount they were having to contribute to the PBGC for that insurance. The PBGC has been having a tough time of it of late because companies like United Airlines have learned how to game the system and offload their pension responsibilities onto the PBGC. So viable companies still in the system leaned on the White House to cut their contributions. The only way to do this was to assume that the PBGC would earn greater returns from their investments, and that in turn required the agency to assume greater risk. So they started buying stocks at just the wrong time.

Private pensions are another ticking financial bomb that is going to explode in the next couple of years, as we dig ourselves out from the ruins that the previous administration's regulatory phobia and the stock market crash has left us under. One way for companies to manufacture profits was to assume greater returns from their pension plans. When they did, they could reduce their contributions to the plans, cutting epenses. Also, if they assumed the plans would do so well that they were over-funded, the amount of the over-funding went to the bottom line as profits! And another CEO could meet his Wall Street earnings guidance. Estimates of how much prrivate pensions are under-funded range from $250 to more than $600 billion.

As for the "history will judge us" line, that was straight out of W's playbook. Lately, he has been saying that in the fullness of time, our misadventure in Iraq will prove to have been a wonderful success.


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