UNH: Shea-Porter Well Within MoE, Kuster Leading
by: Dean Barker
Sun Oct 31, 2010 at 23:55:30 PM EDT
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Instead of the usual .pdf, Pindell has it behind a paywall, which is kind of a bummer. (FWIW, I will paste the email announcement of the poll in full below the fold.)
CD1:
Carol Shea-Porter: 39%
Frank Guinta: 46%
Other: 5%
Undecided: 12%
10/27-10/31, Sample: 434 likely voters. MoE: +/- 4.7%
Guinta remains under 50%, undecideds/"others" are high, Carol is closing the gap, and, per Pindell, among independent/undeclared voters, "Two weeks ago Shea-Porter trailed by 10 to her Republican opponent Frank Guinta, now she trails by just 1 percentage point."
In this poll, only 36 respondents identified as between 18 to 34 years of age. 167 are identified as Democrats, 53 as independents, and 199 as Republicans.
CD2:
Annie Kuster: 43%
Charlie Bass: 40%
Other: 6%
Undecided: 11%
10/27-10/31, Sample: 451 likely voters. MoE: +/- 4.6%
In this poll, only 32 respondents identified as between 18 to 34 years of age. 194 are identified as Democrats, 60 as independents, and 178 as Republicans.
Spread the word - we can and we will keep these two house seats so long as we empty the tank and give it everything we have. Leave no stone unturned. Call your neighbors and friends. Get your neighbors and friends to call their neighbors and friends. Get out that vote!
GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV!
Call NHDP at 603-225-6899 to find out how to help.
Call the Shea-Porter campaign at 603-531-9653 to find out how to help.
Call the Kuster campaign at 603-230-2415 to find out how to help.
GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV! GOTV!
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DURHAM, NH - Democrat Ann McLane Kuster and
Republican Charlie Bass are locked in a very
tight race for New Hampshire's Second
Congressional District seat. The First C.D. race
has also tightened with Republican Frank Guinta
holding a modest, but not insurmountable, lead
over incumbent Carol Shea-Porter.
In the latest WMUR / UNH New Hampshire Election
Poll, 43% of likely Second Congressional District
voters saying they will vote for Kuster, 40% for
Bass, 3% prefer Libertarian Howard Wilson, 2%
favor independent Tim Van Blommesteyn, 1% prefer
some other candidate, and 11% remain undecided.
In New Hampshire's First Congressional District,
incumbent Democrat Carol Shea-Porter continues to
trail former Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta.
Currently, 46% of likely First C.D. voters say
they will vote for Guinta, 39% say they will vote
for Shea-Porter, 2% support Libertarian Philip
Hodson, 2% prefer independent Mark Whitman, Jr.,
less than 1% prefer some other candidate, and 12% are undecided.
These findings are based on the latest WMUR / UNH
New Hampshire Election Poll, conducted by the
University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Eight
hundred eighty-five (885) randomly selected New
Hampshire likely voters were interviewed by
telephone between October 27 and October 31,
2010. The margin of sampling error for the
state-wide likely voter sample is +/-
3.3%. Included was a subsample of 434 likely
voters in the NH First Congressional District
(margin of sampling error +/-4.7%), and a
subsample of 451 Second Congressional District
likely voters (margin of sampling error +/-4.6%).
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