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Blue Hampshire RSS
Not to sound presumptuous, because nothing comes easily,
But I just don't see Obama losing Kerry states (not a generalization--NH, MI, MN, WI, PA, I just don't see it).
And after you sweep the Kerry states, keep in mind that '04 red state Iowa has Obama up 11 points in the latest Pollster.com average.
Also, in my thinking, Virginia will be close but break for Obama, kind of like Webb v. Allen. I think that if there is a late-night nailbiter this year, it will be Virginia.
Kerry States + Iowa + Virginia = 272, electing Obama.
We might not get Virginia, let's not forget. But there are plenty other swing states I haven't mentioned.
National polls are shiny-object journalism. The electoral math is on our side.
Blue Hampshire RSS
And after you sweep the Kerry states, keep in mind that '04 red state Iowa has Obama up 11 points in the latest Pollster.com average.
Also, in my thinking, Virginia will be close but break for Obama, kind of like Webb v. Allen. I think that if there is a late-night nailbiter this year, it will be Virginia.
Kerry States + Iowa + Virginia = 272, electing Obama.
We might not get Virginia, let's not forget. But there are plenty other swing states I haven't mentioned.
National polls are shiny-object journalism. The electoral math is on our side.