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Democrats Hold The New Hampshire State House! Senate: 14 D's; House: 224 +/- D's

by: Rep. Jim Splaine

Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 15:21:52 PM EST


In addition to keeping the majority in the State Senate, New Hampshire Democrats will still have a majority in the House of Representatives.  It appears like we will have 222-227 House Democrats (we currently have 231) and the balance will be about 173-178 Republicans.  Not bad.  That's an amazing back-to-back accomplishment.  Tied in with the fact that all of our incumbent Democrat State Senators won re-election, we're in good shape.  We will continue to have 14 Democrats in the Senate, assuring cooperation with the House and the Governor's Office on some of the more important issues of the next two years.

I had hoped for a few more House members, and with a little bit of wishful thinking and some cheerleading I had projected we'd have some 262 Democrats.  I'm not disappointed with around 225.  We've had 231 and we've done some great things.  I remember well being in the House when we had about 112 Democrats, so twice that is something that's fun to have to live with.  I'm saddened by the loss of almost 20 of our Democratic incumbents, but many of them will be back in two years.  

The rest of my projections were fairly on the mark.  For the past six months, despite getting some abuse from certain Republicans and some laughs from fellow Democrats when at times things looked bleak, I projected we'd see the reelection of John Lynch, Carol Shea-Porter, and Paul Hodes, as well as the election of Jeanne Shaheen.  They did it!  Plus, I projected that we'd continue to have three Democratic Governor's Council members, including John Shea.  He shouldn't be underestimated, and showed that he does well when the competition is tough.

My projections were made based not on polls but rather on the enthusiasm we saw going into the New Hampshire First-In-The-Nation Presidential Primary, and the new registrations, and the motivating factors for voters -- the need for health care, the Iraq War, the economy, and George W. Bush/Dick Cheney.  We have to thank those guys for encouraging our supporters to get out and throw them out.

I was a bit low on my 7 percent projection for Barack Obama/Joe Biden in New Hampshire.  I mean, he did incredible.  I originally supported Hillary Clinton, but was so proud to vote for Barack Obama yesterday.  And nationwide I projected half a dozen new Democratic United States Senators and a dozen or more new Democratic Congressmen.  It turned out that way.

What an incredible job our Democrats did in the NH State Senate, with all incumbents getting reelected.  We have 14 Democrats in the Senate now, and will have 14 for the next two years, and that back-to-back is another great accomplishment.  I was hoping for better results with our other excellent candidates -- Jay Phinzy, Mike Kaelin, Bob Martin, Bob Backus, and Martha McLeod -- but maybe next time.  Wasn't it fantastic the way our incumbents and new candidates fended off challengers?  Peggy Gilmour, Matt Houde, Bette Lasky, Harold Janeway, Jackie Cilley, and Amanda Merrill will continue to be great, with the others.

Oh, AND WE WILL HAVE 13 WOMEN IN THE NEW HAMPSHIRE STATE SENATE.  THAT'S A MAJORITY!

I should add that Ray Buckley, who can drive some of us up the wall sometimes but who knows his job and does it, should be thanked for his work on the State Senate succcesses -- and others statewide; and Kevin Hodges should be thanked for coordinating much of the success in the House of Representatives.  Decent work all around by them and other staff and volunteers.

The "pendulum of politics" teaches us that victory is often temporary -- including the victory of ideas.  We have much to do to keep our level of success in what might be a more difficult year for us, in 2010.  But if Democrats act like Democrats -- and that is open to debate and definition, which I hope those of us on www.BlueHampshire.com will continue to engage in freely -- we'll continue to win, and do good things to help people in the process.

Rep. Jim Splaine :: Democrats Hold The New Hampshire State House! Senate: 14 D's; House: 224 +/- D's
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straight ticket voting (4.00 / 1)
The results showed that Democratic support for good government reforms with ballot placement rotation and the elimination of straight ticket voting did not hurt the Demcorats. What do you think of another reform - expanded absentee or early voting?  Also, the elimination of cross endorsement wouldn't break my heart, either.  I really don't have any issues with our Hillsborough County attorney, but it is really annoying to have her running in both columns.      

Energy and persistence conquer all things.


Benjamin Franklin


 


My view (0.00 / 0)
First, cross-endorsement:

Isn't cross-endorsement - which I believe means one candidate appearing as the nominee of both parties - a symptom rather than a disease? The underlying problem is (I think) a mix of "we have too many elective offices that ought to be appointed by somebody instead!" and "The parties need to recruit candidates to compete for these slots!" The right way to keep someone from appearing under both party banners is to beat him/her in the primary, no? And if we have a candidate who wins on both tickets, the parties should probably figure out why...

Early voting:

As I understand it, Bill Gardner opposes opening this up because of a greater potential for mischief: specifically, pressure on voters (e.g. the elderly) to fill out a ballot under the watchful eye of someone who is pressuring them. That seems like a reasonable concern - but other states seem to handle that potential problem somehow.

I like the idea of a shared experience: everyone votes on the same day, based on the same available information. But I've heard the argument that early voting makes last-minute smear campaigns far less practical.

So I'm not opposed to greater early voting. But that would rank pretty low on my list of election reforms. Automatic random sample hand recounts is at the top.


[ Parent ]
Not a Priority (0.00 / 0)
New Hampshire took a big step toward fairness by allowing folks who'll be working during polling hours to vote absentee even if they'll be in town. We also allow limited "early voting" since folks who apply for absentee ballots in person within 30 days of election day - when the ballots are available - can submit the application, take their ballot, fill it out then and there and hand it back.

I know we all as campaigners love to bank votes early, so we don't have to make additional calls or visits and can concentrate on undecideds, but I very much dislike the idea of voters casting ballots with profoundly different fact sets.

What if the market had crashed and the credit markets had seized up in late October instead of September? What if a candidate is taken seriously ill or is indicted or cleared of serious criminal charges? (Not that that appeared to affect Ted Stevens.)

Fill in the event, gaffe or critical endorsement of your choice, but, with a divided electorate, a game changer that comes after 10 or 15% of the electorate has already voted early could lead to significant voter remorse.

And what would it mean if an elected official took office by a narrow margin and tried to govern after a decisive number of voters had been standing outside the polls, waving signs for the other guy on Election Day, hoping they could convince people to vote for the candidate they themselves had voted for a couple of weeks before?

I would like to see multiday voting, preferably over a weekend. But as those of us who work the polls know, getting enough volunteers to work one Election Day can be tough!


[ Parent ]
On that last point (0.00 / 0)
I've been wondering if the long lines for early voting we saw in other states were the result of overloading a regular-day staff. On election day we have maybe 50-70 essentially one-day volunteers at the polling sites. On other days it is one or two people at City Hall, normally working on other tasks.

I'm not saying that makes early voting impractical or a bad idea. I just wonder what the logistics are.


[ Parent ]
Limited Voting Locations (4.00 / 1)
...seemed to be the main problem. Most states never anticipated so many folks would be rounded up and marched to the polls early.

2.6 million voted early in Florida. In Broward County (Ft. Lauderdale, etc.), there are over a million registered voters. There are nearly 500 Election Day polling places in the county - and just 17 early voting locations.

No wonder there were lines!


[ Parent ]
NH law (0.00 / 0)
NH law regarding absentee ballots require them to stay in their signed envelopes and not counted before (is it still 2?). At any time prior to the ballots being processed you can  go to your polling place and get a ballot and vote and have your absentee ballot discarded.

Have you written a letter to the editor today? Have you donated today? Have you put up signs? Have you made calls? Have you talked to your neighbors?

[ Parent ]
I had this happen (0.00 / 0)
Yeah I requested an absentee thinking I had to work doing GOTV stuff early, but didn't start until 10.

I was given some hassle but insisted that I had my absentee ballot in my car and had not mailed it in, at that point I was allowed to scan my ballot.


[ Parent ]

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