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Hodes Beats Bass and Sununu in Senate Match-Up

by: Dean Barker

Wed Feb 11, 2009 at 19:24:17 PM EST
Well that was fast.  Kleefield at TPM catches a PPP poll (.pdf) just out on the Senate race, with Paul and Carol matched up against a hypothetical BassMaster and the Sprinter:
Public Policy Polling (D) has close results in all four trial runs. Democratic Congressman Paul Hodes leads former Congressman Charlie Bass 40%-37%, and edges edges former Senator John Sununu 46%-44%. The Republicans have statistically insignificant leads over Dem Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter: Bass leads 43%-42%, and Sununu is up 46%-45%. The margin of error is ±2.7%.
According to the .pdf, PPP polled 1,326 "New Hampshire voters" from 2/6 to 2/8.

Adding: on a personal note, I'd just like to say how both dizzying and oddly familiar it is for me to see these four names tossed around in the context of the same race.  It's like PPP just spat out onto one poll my entire blogging life.
Dean Barker :: Hodes Beats Bass and Sununu in Senate Match-Up
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Hodes Beats Bass and Sununu in Senate Match-Up | 6 comments
No CD crosstabs (0.00 / 0)
unless I missed them.

I would expect higher Undecideds for Hodes and Bass in NH-01, for Shea Porter in NH-02.

(Just the sort of deep insight you expect from me.)

Interesting how Bass (0.00 / 0)
has the lowest favorables.

Could it just mean that "favorables" during this non-election time means "do I know who you are?"

birch paper; on Twitter @deanbarker

[ Parent ]
Sununu (4.00 / 2)
It's not too surprising to see Sununu consistently getting about 45%, since that's about what he got in the race just concluded this November. People who voted for him then would still vote for him, people who voted against him mostly would still vote against him but some would reserve judgement until they see more about Hodes.

Only the left protects anyone's rights.
If I were the pollster (0.00 / 0)
I would have included Bonnie Newman.
Polls are the scientific arm of the Conventional Wisdom. (0.00 / 0)
And Conventional Wisdom says she'll keep her the Govenor's word and not run.
[ Parent ]
Retread (0.00 / 0)
According to the Union Leader, Ovide Lamontagne, a prior losing candidate for both congress and governor (he lost to Jeanne Shaheen in 1996) is "fielding" calls about possible runs for congress, sentate and governor.  Which raises the same question I asked about "lots" of people urging Justice Nadeau to run for senate - how many people really are calling?  If New Hamsphire rejected him as too right wing back in 1996, what makes him think he is electable now?




"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    
[ Parent ]
Hodes Beats Bass and Sununu in Senate Match-Up | 6 comments

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