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A Pox on Both Houses

by: JimC

Sun Nov 07, 2010 at 09:26:33 AM EST


Cross-posted locally.

I tried to avoid writing a blowhardy, why we lost post-election diatribe. But my hand has been forced. By me.

We lost because we suck.

Hey! Wait a second! We don't suck! I don't! My friends don't, and my candidate certainly didn't!

Right. But collectively, we do. We the Democratic Party. We the American political system.

Republicans suck more!

I agree. Unfortunately, they disagree, and there are a lot of them.

Think about the last 10 years. After the closest election in history, the American electorate gave a ringing mandate to George W. Bush in 2002. Two years later, John Kerry came within a football stadium (60,000 votes, in Ohio) of being president. Two years after that, we took the House and the Senate.  Then in 2008, we won with a wildly popular candidate and gained some seats in both the House and Senate. Now the House is gone, and we hold the Senate by a smaller margin.

We oppose term limits, but the American people have imposed them. On us. Because we suck.

In Massachusetts, John Walsh pulled an unprecedented miracle. He combined the lists of all 10 Democratic members of Congress, and identified that there were a million Democratic votes available. And boy, did he call it. The results.

Patrick - 1,108,104
Baker - 962,848
Total: 2,070,952
Difference: 145,526

Hurray John Walsh! (Seriously -- hurray John Walsh! And Clare Kelly, and a lot of others.)

ALL that effort, in one of the bluest states in the nation -- in a field of four -- and the margin was essentially 55-45. Great. Wondrous. Miraculous. Sustainable? No.

Barney Frank, Chair of the Banking Committee, one of the most powerful guys in Washington before the election, liberal hero, running against a seemingly affable and presentable young guy (but with no experience) -- 54-43.

Bill Keating, white knight district attorney, famously took on Billy Bulger, running against a candidate who became a national name because of a scandal that was said to "cut across party lines" -- 47-42 (with three other candidates on the ballot). These figures also from Boston.com.

We escaped with our lives from a national wave, but we still lost. Our delegation is less powerful today.

And as impressive as the effort was, I come back to that 1 million vote figure. There are six million people in Massachusetts. We can reasonably assume there are 4 million eligible voters. But only a million votes were available to the overwhelming majority party.

A lot of people are looking to figure out what happened, see what worked and didn't, which messages took hold, which tactics paid off. I am grateful for those people and really appreciate their efforts.

But the rest of us have to focus on what we all know. We lost because we suck.

More later on why we suck, but it comes down to this. We are not focusing on the things people care about. We are not giving them a reason to vote for us instead of Republicans. I am not saying, "It's the economy, stupid" -- far from it -- but, for lack of a better term, we are not focused on the American dream. Not the white picket fence of old -- I want to talk about Detroit, among other things -- but all aspects of it. The rent IS too damn high, and the landlord refuses to paint.

 

JimC :: A Pox on Both Houses
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A Pox on Both Houses | 21 comments
Meta (4.00 / 1)
Are we too meta?

The Stewart-Colbert event was a meta-rally: not about a cause but about how to think about causes, or even about how to think about thinking about causes.

Obama goes meta whenever he speaks.

Meta is smart; meta doesn't put food on the table.

(Yeah, I'm going meta about meta.)


An Angry Voice (0.00 / 0)

A comment on a Lowell blog:
If we're going to be honest, the Democratic party has to address the fact that a growing number of white, middle-class Americans see it as the party of the minorities. You see blacks vote 90% and above for Democrats, hispanics do the same in large numbers (look at Lawrence). Add in benefits for illegal aliens, or "undocumented workers" as the politically correct would like them referred to and you have a major perception/reality problem for Democrats. White, middle class Americans are forced to turn to the Republican party which, while still more of a big business party than a working man party, will at least give the working man a fighting chance to succeed. Rightly or wrongly, these folks view the Democratic party as abondoning them in order to help their tiny special interest groups, forgetting the largest special interest group of them all: middle class America.

I'm still mulling this over, but so far I'm thinking:
The Democratic Party, in tandem with labor unions, lifted a huge chunk of the "working class" into the "upper middle class."

The Democratic Party stayed with the concerns of the "working class" or as the angry call them, "their tiny special interest groups." While the "hooray for me Dems" in the upper middle class, forgot their roots and turned to the GOP to protect their newly acquired capital, our Party stayed focused on the betterment of those with real struggles.

Unfortunately, as the "nuvo riche" of the Democratic Party begin to backslide into the working class, they are punching down, instead of up.

How meta is that?

Whack-a-mole, anyone?


Women (4.00 / 4)
are another "minority" that vote for Democrats.  Not white upper income women, but mothers (so much for "family values") and all those non-white women, and when we can get them to find time to vote, single lower-income women.  
While I consider all Americans "real" Americans, I often wonder why women sort of disappear in these discussions.  After all, we are more than half of all Americans.  Yet when we talk about those white voters, we are mostly talking about white men.  Women are just sort of an invisible class in our country.  

[ Parent ]
Patrick & Baker vs. Cahill (0.00 / 0)
Actually, Patrick may have beaten Baker only because Tim Cahill ran as an independent.  Cahill's 8% of the vote was more than the margin between Patrick & Baker.  

Empty Analysis (4.00 / 3)
Tell me, please. How would Cahill's 8% split?

How would Baker run a campaign, absent Cahill? How would Patrick?

What would have happened if Coakley won?

What would have happened if the US Navy's carriers were docked in Pearl Harbor on that fateful day.



Whack-a-mole, anyone?


[ Parent ]
And, (4.00 / 2)
if frogs had wings, they wouldn't bump their butts when they hop.

Republicans believe government is bad - then they get into office and prove it.

[ Parent ]
Detroit (0.00 / 0)
Here's a stat I heard the other day: Detroit is large enough to hold 2 million people, but its population is 400,000. The thing that shocked me most about that when I heard it is that I had never heard it before.

The mayor of Detroit is actually proposing to bulldoze parts of the city. I'm pressed for time today, or I'd scout up some links about this.

Here's one question, among many that could be asked. We talk about green jobs. Everybody knows where those jobs will be concentrated -- the high tech hubs, namely Massachusetts, California, Seattle and a few other places. Why can't the federal government offer large incentives to put those jobs in Detroit?

Would it work? I don't know. But it's worth a shot. Better than the nothing we're doing now.  


Detroit links (0.00 / 0)
From AmberPaw.


[ Parent ]
2006 and 2008 (4.00 / 1)
In 2006, there was a very clear theme to the Democratic Congressional campaigns: opposition to the Iraq War. Then the Congress continued to fund it. I well remember the hearings, held on September 11, 2007, and the famous "General Betray-us" ad taken out by MoveOn (I'm not defending that ad -- it was a bad idea), and the line of denouncements by Republicans. I remember Joe Lieberman asking his fellow Democrats in his best "Come let us reason together" tone to heed the general.

What I don't remember is what a single Democrat said that day (except Hillary Clinton ... who said something unmemorable), or any sort of real Democratic stand against the war. In December of that year, there were hearings on Blackwater, and John Tierney (D-MA) asked some good questions. But that was about the end of that.

In 2008, every Democratic presidential candidate had "universal healthcare" on their issues list. Every Democratic Congressional candidate did the same. The GOP attacked us for it, but we can be reasonably said to have staked part of the election on doing something about healthcare.

It would be pointless to rehash the whole bill process, but consider the Stupak-Pitts moment. Regardless of any member's personal feelings, the right to choose is a core plank of the Democratic platform. Yet, for the sake of a small group of Congressmen, we allowed this bill that the entire party had campaigned on become an abortion football for something like a week. Last Monday, NPR (Mara Liasson, I think) reported that there was no gender gap -- which there always is, and it always favors us -- in the electorate. I'm not saying that was the only thing that erased it, but it doesn't help matters when you tell a core constituency that you can't be trusted on a core issue.  


thank you, Jim (4.00 / 2)
With Stupak-Pitts the Democrats threw women under the bus. Women were told we had to sacrifice for the greater good. Women are always told that. Meanwhile, terrorists picket women's health clinics every day, doctors who perform abortions are murdered, and the number of clinics available decreases with each passing year. Our national elected officials say "we want abortion to be rare." The DP defends abortion with a guilty whimper. They've been cowed by the GOP and by the Christian Taliban. And of course, as the DP continues to move further to the right - they serve to solidify the notion that there isn't any difference between the 2 parties. The prevailing media narrative about how Democrats lost because "their agenda was too progressive" is a bunch of bullshit. More blew dogs lost their seats than progressives. When given the choice between real and faux Republicanism, the real always wins.

That said, I doubt very much that women who felt thrown under that bus (and there were plenty of us) voted Republican. Some may have chosen to sit this one out. Some of them might have chosen to vote third party, in states where that's an option. In NH, we were just getting used to the idea of having 2 parties.  

sanctimonious purist/professional lefty


[ Parent ]
My point exactly (4.00 / 2)
Committed voters vote. But casual voters learned a lesson: Democrats can't be trusted. We can say it's not true, but we'd be far better off proving that it's not true. Proving that we can be trusted.

Don't get me started on ACORN, and what we did to them.


[ Parent ]
Segmentation. (4.00 / 1)
This has been the strategy to de-construct the progressive movement for decades.  Conservatives have peeled off layer after layer of traditionally reliable Democratic voters by creating wedge issues.  Pro-life, gun control, immigration, taxes, and more.

At the same time, labor and our civic organizations have been in serious decline, further atomizing voters and leaving people feeling like they have no voice.  The conservatives have been brilliant at creating or manipulating groups for people to "cling" to - churches, shooting clubs, anti-tax groups, and now the Tea Party to name just a few.  Because of the decline of big labor Dems began partnering with corporate America for campaign funding during the 80s.  Business interests still prefer Rs, but were only too happy to hedge bets by laying small money down on Ds.

Very simplified, but the result is we have many Ds (Baucus, Nelson, Landreau, et al) who receive most of their financing from business interests.  This manifests itself not only in legislation but also in legislative drift, or, put more simply, by the absence of legislation that would level the playing field.

The Employee Free Choice Act bill is a perfect example.  This bill would have made it easier for workers to unionize, put teeth into Unfair Labor Practices (did you know that only 40% of unions that successfully organize reach a first contract with companies?), and might have begun to reverse decades of labor decline.  There may never be another chance to do this in my lifetime, and it is devastating to labor.

I highly recommend the book Winner Take All Politics which is a thesis on the current state of political affairs.  Not a lot of new information, but presented in a way that ties seemingly disparate events and circumstances in a coherent thesis on where we are.

Here's a link to a review of the book by Henry Farrell, writing on Crooked Timber.
http://crookedtimber.org/2010/...



"Physical concepts are free creations of the human mind, and are not, however it may seem, uniquely determined by the external world." A. Einstein


[ Parent ]
one wonders (4.00 / 1)
if putting ACORN (a group that registered and organized low income voters around the country) out of business had any impact on this election.  

sanctimonious purist/professional lefty

[ Parent ]
wtfiuwts? n/t (0.00 / 0)


for transparency sake ~I represent Union print shops

[ Parent ]
Compared to what (4.00 / 3)
Within the space of 15 minutes on TV today, I heard the president is too much of a politician, I heard that he's not enough of a politician. He's out of touch with Congressional Democrats, who themselves are out of touch with voters, blah, blah, blah.

It's messy out there. The president is always going to be too much of a politician and not enough of a politician at the same time. The NHDP is never going to get the scripts right.

All of that is background noise.  There never was, and never will be, a mythical time when we were on point with a simple and clear yet nuanced and complex message, when the voters supported the party because the party was both firm but polite, when we supported white picket fences and made it perfectly clear that no one else did.

Is there room for improvement? Sure. But to paraphrase Travis McGee, most of the time everyone is doing pretty much the best they can do.


Couldn't agree more (0.00 / 0)
Well put, kite.

But times change. I said two things before this election:

1. We will keep both houses of Congress.

2. Just because we're better than the Republicans doesn't mean we're good enough.

I was clearly WAY wrong on the first point, but I was right about the second. We didn't just lose seats -- we lost a historically outlandish number of seats. So something has changed. There is something new in the air. Our best is not good enough for the American public.



[ Parent ]
30+/- seats were gone before 2010 started n/t (0.00 / 0)


Whack-a-mole, anyone?

[ Parent ]
Republican Districts (4.00 / 1)
Dems rode the '06 & '08 waves into. Those 30+/- seats were on borrowed time. They shouldn't really be counted as "lost."

Whack-a-mole, anyone?

[ Parent ]
the rent is too damn high! n/t (4.00 / 1)


for transparency sake ~I represent Union print shops

[ Parent ]
Request (0.00 / 0)
Could my friends who recommended this diary unrecommend it? I worry about misinterpretation by the broader public. I would update the headline, but that feels dishonest. I never expected it would sit atop BH for two days.

I appreciate that people here have taken this in the spirit it was intended, as a tough love exercise. I'm getting a much more mixed reception in my home state. Just proves ya gotta dance with the one that brung ya (to the netroots).



A Pox on Both Houses | 21 comments

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