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Is Charlie Bass the Most Vulnerable House Republican?

by: Dean Barker

Wed Dec 29, 2010 at 07:04:43 AM EST


The numbers say so.

Roll Call has the DCCC's target list for 2010.  Out of all those hundreds of GOPers in the incoming House, they are starting out with a mere 32 of the most vulnerable, based on their winning percentage to Obama's 2008 percentage in their district. Guess who made the list?

Member or Representative-elect/2010 winning percentage/Obama 2008 percentage:
Charlie Bass (N.H.)/48/56
Frank Guinta (N.H.)/54/53
Annie Kuster lost by a few thousand votes in an awful year.

Running for federal office is a huge undertaking, especially when you show the kind of hustle that Kuster did.  That said, I hope she will think about it for 2012.  The voting demographics and the incoming presidential cycle are hugely in Annie's favor.  Not to mention that the kind of campaign she ran is right in line with the people of her district.

In the first CD, the numbers indicate a classic swing district (big surprise). Considering Frank Guinta's unresolved mystery money issues, and the presidential cycle, it's no wonder the forces of misinformation are already trying to kneecap a rematch with Carol Shea-Porter.

Both districts are firmly in play.

Dean Barker :: Is Charlie Bass the Most Vulnerable House Republican?
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The National Mood (0.00 / 0)
Much of an election is based on the national mood.  The national mood was clear in 2006 and 2008, and we did well; in 2010, the national mood was with the Republicans.  

If President Obama and the Democrats in Congress are able to make their messages again of "hope" and "change," and if the economy continues to improve -- we could have used the good news of the past two months about half a year ago -- we're going to do okay in 2012.

What the incoming Republicans have to realize is that they have no mandate.  They have an opportunity, and that's all.  If they try to turn back health care or gay marriage or cut the budgets at the expense of human beings to benefit corporations, 2012 will be a new lesson for them.  

Democrats did great things the past four years.  So people say we "overreached."  I just think we used our opportunities.  We did what we could.  When we're back with greater numbers in 2012, we shouldn't be cautious of what we want to continue to do -- we should again use our opportunities to make change.  


Actually, what the members of Congress need to realize (0.00 / 0)
is that the job comes with obligations that are not supposed to be sluffed off on the executive, the judiciary or the lobbyists of private corporations.  
If the electorate can be faulted, it's for getting sucked into the politics of personal destruction and personal adulation meme and for buying into democracy as process for selecting quasi royalists.
Legislative candidates not only need some appreciation for the law; they need to recognize that law is to promote justice, not subordinate the population.  The rule of law should not be an instrument of deprivation, nor provide advantage to any person or community.

[ Parent ]
slough sloughed (4.00 / 1)
http://www.thefreedictionary.c...

slough
1. The dead outer skin shed by a reptile or amphibian.
2. Medicine A layer or mass of dead tissue separated from surrounding living tissue, as in a wound, sore, or inflammation.
3. An outer layer or covering that is shed.

v. sloughed, slough·ing, sloughs

v.intr.
1. To be cast off or shed; come off: The snake's skin sloughs off.
2. To shed a slough.
3. Medicine To separate from surrounding living tissue. Used of dead tissue.
v.tr.
To discard as undesirable or unfavorable; get rid of: slough off former associates.



note to close readers: this might be sarcastic so think twice before reading to candidates for use in their attacks on each other

[ Parent ]
Bass and Guinta need to go in 2012 (4.00 / 2)
But we need to be concerned with the US Senate races across the country.  Given that this is the same class of Senate seats that were up in 2006, more of our seats are vulnerable than Republicans'.

--
Hope > Anarch-tea
Twitter: @DougLindner


redistricting? (0.00 / 0)
Anyone want to speculate on redistricting? There is more than one way to split the state into 2 CDs.


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