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In the latest PPP poll on the Democratic Primary in Pennsylvania, taken 3/31-4/1, Barack Obama overtook Hillary Clinton among likely Democratic Primary voters. The last PPP poll in Pennsylvania, taken 3/15-3/16, showed a 26 point lead for Clinton (56 to 30), the greatest margin between the two of any Pennsylvania Democratic Primary poll listed on Pollster.com going all the way back to January 2007. While Obama's 2-point lead (45 to Clinton's 43) is within the 2.8% margin of error, this poll is not an outlier, as many in recent weeks have been showing Obama making gains. A Rasmussen poll with a considerably smaller sample taken on 3/31 showed Clinton with a five-point lead, at 47 to 42. Both polls show that more than 10% of likely voters are undecided. Furthermore, Obama leads in all age groups save the oldest.
While it is likely that Obama has not taken a definitive lead in PA, the fact remains that he has gained 28 points in two weeks, and there are nearly three weeks left until Pennsylvanians go to the polls.
http://www.pollster.com/08-PA-...
On a personal note, while I often rail against polls as being unreliable and a negative influence on politics, the fact remains that we're outside observers and this is still better than listening to the same James Carville-Jamal Simmons argument 24 hours a day.
