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Clinton: Kinder, Gentler Neoconservatism?

by: Jack Mitchell

Thu Apr 17, 2008 at 23:00:20 PM EDT


Watching the debate in Philadelphia, I was struck by the saber rattling of Senator Clinton in a response to a question about Iran. These words rang out: "massive retaliation" and "umbrella of deterrence."

She said:
I think that we should be looking to create an umbrella of deterrence that goes much further than just Israel. Of course I would make it clear to the Iranians that an attack on Israel would incur massive retaliation from the United States, but I would do the same with other countries in the region.
You know, we are at a very dangerous point with Iran.

I found this position startling, especially in connection to Clinton's rightward leanings as illustrated by her unflinching support for Kyl/Lieberman.

Then I saw this segment on Olbermann's Countdown featuring Rachel Maddows. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21...

Ms.Maddow wondered; "Why would something like this advance American interests?"
Later stating; "This is a huge reorientation of America's foreign policy and America's role in the world."

Hampsters, I dare say I may be one of the most hawkish diarists on this blog. I don't like the sound of this, at all!

I have put them in full context below the fold.

Jack Mitchell :: Clinton: Kinder, Gentler Neoconservatism?
Is this Dick Cheney's fondest pipe dream?

Via The New York Times.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: Senator Obama, let's stay in the region. Iran continues to pursue a nuclear option. Those weapons, if they got them, would probably pose the greatest threat to Israel. During the Cold War, it was the United States policy to extend deterrence to our NATO allies. An attack on Great Britain would be treated as if it were an attack on the United States. Should it be U.S. policy now to treat an Iranian attack on Israel as if it were an attack on the United States?
SEN. OBAMA: Well, our first step should be to keep nuclear weapons out of the hands of the Iranians, and that has to be one of our top priorities. And I will make it one of our top priorities when I'm president of the United States.
I have said I will do whatever is required to prevent the Iranians from obtaining nuclear weapons. I believe that that includes direct talks with the Iranians where we are laying out very clearly for them, here are the issues that we find unacceptable, not only development of nuclear weapons but also funding terrorist organizations like Hamas and Hezbollah, as well as their anti-Israel rhetoric and threats towards Israel. I believe that we can offer them carrots and sticks, but we've got to directly engage and make absolutely clear to them what our posture is.
Now, my belief is that they should also know that I will take no options off the table when it comes to preventing them from using nuclear weapons or obtaining nuclear weapons, and that would include any threats directed at Israel or any of our allies in the region.

MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: So you would extend our deterrent to Israel?
SENATOR OBAMA: As I've said before, I think it is very important that Iran understands that an attack on Israel is an attack on our strongest ally in the region, one that we -- one whose security we consider paramount, and that -- that would be an act of aggression that we -- that I would -- that I would consider an attack that is unacceptable, and the United States would take appropriate action.

MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: Senator Clinton, would you?
SENATOR CLINTON: Well, in fact, George, I think that we should be looking to create an umbrella of deterrence that goes much further than just Israel. Of course I would make it clear to the Iranians that an attack on Israel would incur massive retaliation from the United States, but I would do the same with other countries in the region.
You know, we are at a very dangerous point with Iran. The Bush policy has failed. Iran has not been deterred. They continue to try to not only obtain the fissile material for nuclear weapons but they are intent upon and using their efforts to intimidate the region and to have their way when it comes to the support of terrorism in Lebanon and elsewhere.
And I think that this is an opportunity, with skillful diplomacy, for the United States to go to the region and enlist the region in a security agreement vis-a-vis Iran. It would give us three tools we don't now have.
Number one, we've got to begin diplomatic engagement with Iran, and we want the region and the world to understand how serious we are about it. And I would begin those discussions at a low level. I certainly would not meet with Ahmadinejad, because even again today he made light of 9/11 and said he's not even sure it happened and that people actually died. He's not someone who would have an opportunity to meet with me in the White House. But I would have a diplomatic process that would engage him.
And secondly, we've got to deter other countries from feeling that they have to acquire nuclear weapons. You can't go to the Saudis or the Kuwaitis or UAE and others who have a legitimate concern about Iran and say: Well, don't acquire these weapons to defend yourself unless you're also willing to say we will provide a deterrent backup and we will let the Iranians know that, yes, an attack on Israel would trigger massive retaliation, but so would an attack on those countries that are willing to go under this security umbrella and forswear their own nuclear ambitions.
And finally we cannot permit Iran to become a nuclear weapons power. And this administration has failed in our efforts to convince the rest of the world that that is a danger, not only to us and not just to Israel but to the region and beyond.
Therefore we have got to have this process that reaches out, beyond even who we would put under the security umbrella, to get the rest of the world on our side to try to impose the kind of sanctions and diplomatic efforts that might prevent this from occurring.

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I disagree. The Clintons are a lot of things, but ideological nuts is not one of them. (0.00 / 0)
What I believe she meant was that anyone using a nuclear weapon on anyone else would be seen as a threat to the United States, which is quite a reasonable argument.

--
No tea; no decaf.

@DougLindner


Pandering? (0.00 / 0)
Hillary, that is, to "ideological nuts."

And I think the Clintons are nuts for their own "ideaology." They reek of believing their own hype.

Also, this "policy" is applicable beyond the scope of nuclear weapons. It is, in effect, proposing a NATO-esque vision for the Middle East.

Now, how do you think Iran, Russia, India and China feels about that, yo?

Is this not a policy extension of the Bush/Cheney arrogance?

Whack-a-mole, anyone?


[ Parent ]
I don't think it's pandering. In fact, I'll bet the leaders of the other seven confirmed nuclear powers would all say the same thing. (0.00 / 0)
No country is safe if someone is willing and able to start a nuclear war.  If Iran were to launch a nuclear strike against Israel, don't you think that would alarm the Brits, the French, the Russians, the Chinese, the Pakistanis, and the Indians as much as the Americans?

There's been an extremely obvious unspoken agreement between every nuclear power since the beginning of the Cold War: "don't go there."  Nobody would tolerate it.  It's just common sense.

And by the way, people who are actually neocon VOTERS are the same people who would never vote for anybody named Clinton, and Hillary knows that.

--
No tea; no decaf.

@DougLindner


[ Parent ]
Hello, Lieberman? (0.00 / 0)
There is more mo-joe out there then you are accounting for.

Maybe she is speechifying in this manner to raise some dough?

Whack-a-mole, anyone?


[ Parent ]
So you're saying that if Iran launches a nuclear strike on a non-NATO country, that's not a threat to the United States? (0.00 / 0)


--
No tea; no decaf.

@DougLindner


[ Parent ]
She was flexing for the camera. (0.00 / 0)
What I am saying is that she is tying American ME foreign policy in the near east to the state of Israel in a way that maintains the status quo.

This does no good, imo, helping us bridge the gap between the only world superpower and the muslim world.

How is it that we see the ill effects of US forces in Iraq, yet cannot fathom how our glaring preference for Israel works against our long term strategic interests in the region?

Bush/Cheney have been seeding the ME with "freedom." Clinton is using very similar rhetoric.

Besides her "umbrella" holds a promise of protection that will likely be enforced with conventional forces, as opposed to nuclear.

Are you saying that we should make it US policy to be the "world police" in the ME?

It is hawk talk, Doug.


Whack-a-mole, anyone?


[ Parent ]
It's common sense, Jack. (4.00 / 1)
And so is supporting Israel in general.

--
No tea; no decaf.

@DougLindner


[ Parent ]
Cherry picking states in the ME (4.00 / 1)
and extending a policy that applies to Britian and France is in no way common sense.

Any pledge by the US to preferentially defend any ME nation to that degree will be used as propaganda in every Madrassa from Morrocco to Indonesia.

This is not the same as "dealing with terrorists." The US can opt not to antagonize a large segment of the world's population by keeping with its own strategic self interest.

We need to be a fair broker in the future.

Whack-a-mole, anyone?


[ Parent ]
Israel is a Western-style liberal democracy; no other Middle Eastern state is comparable. (4.00 / 1)
It is not a strategic self-interest.  It is as if one of our closest European allies happens not to be located in Europe.

--
No tea; no decaf.

@DougLindner


[ Parent ]
The American Conservative cites Jerusalem Post (0.00 / 0)
Give me your umbrella

According to the Jerusalem Post report on Wednesday’s televised debate, the two Democratic presidential candidates are now committed not only to use U.S. military in retaliation against a possible Iranian nuclear attack on Israel but are also ready to extend the U.S. nuclear umbrella to Israel and the entire Middle East:


Democratic presidential candidates on Wednesday night threatened a tough response against Iran should the Islamic Republic attack Israel.


“An attack on Israel would trigger massive retaliation from the United States,” said New York Senator Hillary Clinton, who proposed that the US create a security umbrella for Israel and other allies in the region to protect them from a nuclear Iran. “So would an attack on those countries that are willing to go under the security umbrella and forswear their own nuclear ambitions,” she added.


The New York senator pointed to Saudi Arabia and the UAE as states that had concerns about Iran’s nuclear ambitions. “We’ve got to deter other countries from feeling they have to acquire nuclear weapons,” she said.


Clinton was responding to a question at a presidential debate here with her competitor for the Democratic nomination, Illinois Senator Barack Obama.


They were both asked by ABC moderator George Stephanopoulos: “Should it be US policy now to treat on Iranian attack on Israel as if it were an attack against the United States?”


Obama answered that “it is very important that Iran understands that an attack on Israel is an attack on our strongest ally in the region, one whose security we consider paramount.” He said that would be an act of aggression that he would consider “unacceptable,” and that “the United States would take appropriate action.”


The Illinois senator stressed that he would “take no option off the table” when it comes to preventing Iran from attaining a nuclear weapons program.


This is a major commitment on the part of the U.S., the kind that it had provided to Western Europe, Japan and South Korea during the Cold War. The issue hasn’t been discussed in Congress. But guess who came up with the idea which is now going to become part of the CW?

(h/t Andrew Sullivan)

Whack-a-mole, anyone?

The Jerusalem Post is considered a right-wing paper. (4.00 / 1)
Check Ha'aretz.

--
No tea; no decaf.

@DougLindner


[ Parent ]
The Beard (0.00 / 0)
wrote for Jerusalem Post b-4 CNN gig

for transparency sake ~I represent Union print shops

[ Parent ]
And? (0.00 / 0)


--
No tea; no decaf.

@DougLindner


[ Parent ]
that's how I came to know his work, and n/t (4.00 / 1)


for transparency sake ~I represent Union print shops

[ Parent ]
Carrots and sticks (0.00 / 0)
It doesn't sound like a rewrite of policy so much as a restatement of her "carrots and sticks" defense of Kyl/Lieberman in one of the previous debates. I don't hear neoconism as much as I hear her speaking to Democratic voters (engage him) without giving McCain grounds to pounce (but I wouldn't MEET with him, like the crazy liberal next to me would).

But kudos for flagging it, because she does take it a step further as she speaks.


Sounds like a duck (0.00 / 0)
Clinton isn't a neocon. She'll just pander to those that equate their Judeo/Christian heritage to the promotion of "democracy & freedom."

This is where "The Family" comes in.

The Knights Templars turned Crusade into Corporatism. This lesson is hard to unlearn it seems.

Whack-a-mole, anyone?


[ Parent ]
I'll have you know (0.00 / 0)
I wimped out on at least three different responses to that.

Instead I'll just add that I never liked the carrots and sticks argument in the first place.

And I'm with you on the fair broker stuff. That is our historic role, or was until Bush. Everybody knew we favored Israel, and that was fine, but we had at least some credibility throughout the region.


[ Parent ]
Check aid to (0.00 / 0)
Iraq,then Israel,Egypt,Afghanistan, in 2004 graph below.
Peace with Egypt and Jordan has held over 30 years, they no longer think of being client states of Russia. They can get money and the weapons to spend it.


http://www.bcps.org/offices/li...
Top Recipients from U. S. Foreign Aid, FY 2004
Country

Amt. Received
(in billions of $)

Country

Amt. Received
(in billions of $)
Afghanistan 1.77          
Bolivia    0.10          
Colombia   0.57          
Egypt           1.87        
Ethiopia    0.16        
Indonesia    0.13        
Iraq           18.44        
Israel    2.62        
Jordan    0.56
Kenya            0.13
Liberia            0.21
Pakistan           0.39
Peru            0.17
Sudan            0.14
Turkey    0.15        
Uganda    0.14



for transparency sake ~I represent Union print shops

[ Parent ]
Beat the Press Mr. Baker (0.00 / 0)
I saw this on Dean Baker's blog last December, in response to a comment he made...

http://www.prospect.org/csnc/b...
We could also point out that not only do people consistently overestimate the dollar amounts of foreign aid but are largely unaware that few of those dollars actually leave the country, almost always foreign aid comes with a condition that it has to be spent on American products.

A huge amount of so-called foreign aid actually flows to my state. Washington St grows huge amounts of wheat and lots of shiny planes and sells them to other countries in exchange for foreign aid dollars. And lots of other states are in on the gravy train as well. The large amounts of military aid we send to Israel and Egypt and what food aid we actually send to Africa in practice results in a job and profit subsidies for both the US Military-Industrial Complex and Big Ag. (And you can bet that Congress understands this reality very well.



for transparency sake ~I represent Union print shops

[ Parent ]
If there is a sincere interest in preventing the spread (0.00 / 0)
of nuclear weapons and reducing those that already exist, then the logical thing is to extend the Central Asian Nuclear Weapons Free Zone down the Arabian Peninsula to include Egypt, which has already agreed to participate.  Such an arrangement would, of course, require an intensive inspection regime and it would probably put pressure on Israel to get rid of its own stash.
The interest in preventing Iran from enriching uranium for electricity generation is mainly motivated by a desire to corner the market of this fuel for the U.S. producers (currently planning to build two more facilities in New Mexico) and their Russian subsidiary.  We still have any number of enterprising industrialists who enjoy creating monopolies more than anything else and the loss of the oil monopoly in the Middle East still rankles.

It might have been fun to ask Senator Clinton how Bill's friendship with the Canadian uranium speculator making deals in Kazakhstan fits into this picture.



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