Open Thread: Media Narrative vs. Reality Edition

Disservice (0.00 / 0)

It really feels that the media are trying to make this into a a horse race that it is not.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Obama: 314.3
McCain: 223.7

http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Obama 317
McCain 221

http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Obama 48.5
McCain 43.9

Hope > Fear

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by: Mike Hoefer @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 08:16:14 AM CDT

Watch our for Bears (0.00 / 0)

It's official

Stocks dropped to their lowest levels of the year Wednesday, with major indexes slipping officially into "bear market" conditions.

Hope > Fear

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by: Mike Hoefer @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 08:20:35 AM CDT

Still a horse race (4.00 / 2)

These polls don't mean much, and the nasty stuff is only beginning. Or, to quote a source of great wisdom, Caddy Shack, "I'd keep playing. I don't think the heavy stuff's gonna come down for quite some time now..."  

"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt   [I'm an advisor to the NHDP Coordinated Campaign]

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by: Kathy Sullivan 2 @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 11:00:05 AM CDT

Cook Political Report (0.00 / 0)

has just changed 27 House ratings.

26 of them are in our favor - that's just insane, I can't remember a bigger switch all at once, and in the middle of summer, than what I remember from 2006:

AL-03    Mike Rogers    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
CA-46    Dana Rohrabacher    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
FL-08    Ric Keller    Likely Republican to Lean Republican
FL-09    Gus Bilirakis    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
FL-18    Ileana Ros-Lehtinen    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
FL-21    Lincoln Diaz-Balart    Likely Republican to Lean Republican
ID-01    Bill Sali    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
IN-03    Mark Souder    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
IA-04    Tom Latham    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
KY-02    OPEN (Lewis)    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
MN-02    John Kline    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
NE-02    Lee Terry    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
NV-02    Dean Heller    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
NJ-05    Scott Garrett    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
NY-13    OPEN (Fossella)    Toss Up to Lean Democratic
NY-25    OPEN (Walsh)    Toss Up to Lean Democratic
NC-10    Patrick McHenry    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
OH-07    OPEN (Hobson)    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
PA-03    Phil English    Likely Republican to Lean Republican
PA-05    OPEN (Peterson)    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
PA-11    Paul Kanjorksi    Likely Democratic to Lean Democratic
PA-15    Charlie Dent    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
TX-07    John Culberson    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
TX-10    Michael McCaul    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
VA-05    Virgil Goode    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
VA-10    Frank Wolf    Solid Republican to Likely Republican
WV-02    Shelley Moore Capito    Likely Republican to Lean Republican
WY-AL    OPEN (Cubin)    Solid Republican to Likely Republican

Wonder if Sununu's fired now.

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by: Dean Barker @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 12:12:06 PM CDT

Elitist meme (4.00 / 3)

Is THAT a Starbucks cup I see there, John? Better check his shoe closet for Birkenstocks.

McCain shakes up staff amid concern about 'unforced errors'

The giant finds its gait.

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by: Jack Mitchell @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 13:12:37 PM CDT

Ad (4.00 / 1)

Private Plane Owning, Latte Drinking, Architectural Digest Living....

Hope > Fear

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by: Mike Hoefer @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 13:20:11 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Thief! (4.00 / 1)

Obsessed is just a word the lazy use to describe the dedicated.

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by: Justin Credible @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 13:31:59 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

That's what I was thinking. (0.00 / 0)

Go lurk Blue Mass Group. We already have one to many Massholes here.

The giant finds its gait.

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by: Jack Mitchell @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 13:45:56 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Oh the insults! My chatroom ego is bruised. (0.00 / 0)

Next time I tell you about something I found, I'll let you know if I'm gonna use it.

Obsessed is just a word the lazy use to describe the dedicated.

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by: Justin Credible @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 14:59:43 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

TPMtv: Wesley Clark Hyperventorama (0.00 / 0)

Talk about the echo chamber:

The giant finds its gait.

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by: Jack Mitchell @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 13:15:15 PM CDT

If flying airplanes (0.00 / 0)

were any qualification to be President, we would have had a President George McGovern, the WWII hero B-24 pilot with the Distinguished Flying Cross, in '72.

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by: Alex Gallichon @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 16:16:44 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

If winning is objective #1, winning big is a close second. (4.00 / 3)

A big win means more political capital, greater coattails for the down-ticket races, and less willingness among weaker Republicans in Congress to oppose President Obama's agenda.

Electing Obama is a means to an end, and every percentage point, every state (particularly New Hampshire, which the media will think is a BIG DEAL for McCain to lose) helps accomplish our goals, even after we've gotten our 270 EVs.

Winning is good.  Winning AND winning New Hampshire is better.  Winning 40 states and getting 60% in New Hampshire is better yet.  Aim high.

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by: Douglas E. Lindner @ Thu Jul 03, 2008 at 19:24:41 PM CDT