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Weekly Poll & Open Thread

by: Dean Barker

Sun Jul 27, 2008 at 21:26:05 PM EDT
Here are the results from last week's poll:
The Iraqi PM's endorsement of Obama's plan:
* is already forgotten. - 19 votes (59.38%)
* will be a week-long news cycle. - 8 votes (25%)
* will feature prominently until November. - 4 votes (12.5%)
* will be decisive for an Obama victory. - 1 votes (3.12%)
* will be a month-long news cycle. - 0 votes (0%)
Total votes: 32
I'm surprised at how strong a showing was made for casting the issue as "already forgotten," given how it continues to ricochet around McCain's alleged foreign policy advantage.

This week's poll concerns Bob Barr. And let's make this an Open Thread.

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Dean Barker :: Weekly Poll & Open Thread
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Weekly Poll & Open Thread | 5 comments
Ron Paul got 18,276 votes in the primary (4.00 / 3)

Candidates                    Votes  %  
John F. Kerry (D)       340,019   50  
George W. Bush(R)  330,848   49  
Other                             4,447         1  

The giant finds its gait.

I voted for forgotten, but I'm happy to see it's been a little better than that. (4.00 / 1)
It deserves a lot of attention.  That said, it seems that what's gotten the attention is not Maliki's endorsement of the Obama plan, but of his statements supporting similar measures.

On this week's vote, though, I think Obama will win New Hampshire no matter what (as long as we work hard and don't let our guard down, I think he'll carry the state), but that Barr will help us anyway.  It matters.  It seems to me the states in which the margin of victory (as opposed to simply winning or losing a state) is most significant as far as political capital are New Hampshire, Arizona, and Texas--and the latter two are actually more in play than the former, according to recent numbers.  Winning each of those three is great for Obama and a big blow to McCain, and McCain will get no credit for winning any or all of those three because the conventional wisdom is that all three should be in the bag for him.  That said, a win, and every point greater a win in any of these three states gives a great amount of political capital to a President Obama and loses plenty for a President McCain.  Next to the national popular vote margin and how many states go each direction, the margins of these three states have the greatest potential to gain or lose political capital for the next President, IMHO.

This may be an unfair impression (4.00 / 2)
but it comes through clearly to me: in New Hampshire we have ten "Libertarians" who simply want to gut taxes for every Libertarian who cares about civil liberties.

If that's accurate it will limit Barr's appeal.

better (0.00 / 0)
I think that's a better ratio than most states.

I've always gotten the impression that NH residents of all political stripes care about constitutional freedoms somewhat more than voters in other places.

[ Parent ]
Poll (4.00 / 1)
Although it is unlikely, kudos for adding the "Barr will win NH!" option on the poll.
Weekly Poll & Open Thread | 5 comments
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