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Why do people continue to treat mendacious quitter Kelly Ayotte as the front-runner in the Republican primary? There's been only one poll in that race since April, and that was a single Magellan(R) poll that showed her lead going from +24 to +9 between April and May. She's certainly still the Republican establishment pick, but Republican establishment picks haven't fared too well in the face of challenges from crazed Tea Party candidates this year.
I'll discount Sue Lowden's loss in Nevada to crazed Tea Party candidate Sharron Angle; Sue Lowden was herself exposed as sufficiently incompetent to lose the race entirely on her own merits. Chickens for Checkups isn't too far off from Tea Party ideas anyhow. That still leaves a number of high-profile knockouts for the Tea Party.
Reposted from a comment on Laura Clawson's diary on DKos, and expanded into a diary here
Kelly Ayotte will need to think long and hard before she makes any decisions about running for Senate or for NH-02. Not only about the usual family decisions; any politician with a family needs to decide for themselves whether it's worth digging into the family savings, being on an irregular schedule that means the kids hardly see one parent for long stretches, and so on. President Obama talked about that difficulty in The Audacity of Hope and he made it through with a wonderful, stable family. There's nothing to say Kelly Ayotte couldn't keep her personal life together while making a run - but it's hard, and there are many who have decided not to put their families through that.
No, this is about the political troubles she'll be facing.
