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"A run against Judd Gregg in 2010 will be difficult for any Democrat. Gregg is popular and has a more favorable rating than John Sununu did," Smith argued. "Second reason, and probably the most important reason, is that 2010 is likely to be a good Republican year. Historically the off year elections favor the party that is out of power."
Really? Well, let's look it up. But where to look? Ah yes, Smith's own UNH poll (emphasis elwood):
New Hampshire does NOT love him. For crying out loud, even his fans would not describe him as lovable! But look at the numbers: in July 2008, the UNH poll asked about favorability for top NH names. John E. Sununu - already under fire from candidates in a Democratic primary and then Jeanne Shaheen - was at 52% Favorable.
With nobody attacking him, Judd Gregg was one point higher at 53%.
