Prog Blogs, Orgs & Alumni
Bank Slate
Betsy Devine
birch, finch, beech
Blue News Tribune (MA)
Democracy for NH
Live Free or Die
Mike Caulfield
Miscellany Blue
Granite State Progress
Seacoast for Change
Susan the Bruce
Tomorrow's Progressives
Politicos & Punditry
The Burt Cohen Show
John Gregg
Krauss
Landrigan
Lawson
Pindell
Primary Monitor
Primary Wire
Scala
Schoenberg
Spiliotes
Welch
Campaigns, Et Alia.
Paul Hodes
Carol Shea-Porter
Ann McLane Kuster
John Lynch
Jennifer Daler
ActBlue Hampshire
NHDP
DCCC
DSCC
DNC
National
Balloon Juice
billmon
Congress Matters
DailyKos
Digby
Hold Fast
Eschaton
FiveThirtyEight
MyDD
The Next Hurrah
Open Left
Senate Guru
Swing State Project
Talking Points Memo
50 State Blog Network
Alabama
Arizona
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Missouri
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
(Here's hoping someone will poll New Hampshire someday. Oh well, maybe next cycle. - promoted by Dean Barker)
Well, so much for hoping for a pollster who can come close to matching New Hampshire's demographics in their results. The usually-reliable PPP just put out another poll of Cloud Hampshire. Even there, Governor Lynch easily wins his historic fourth term.
The criticism of this one is simple. 28% Democrats. 37% Republicans. PPP is giving Republicans a 9% edge, when the actual Republican edge is, as has been noted repeatedly this election cycle, 0.6%. In a state that voted for President Obama by an easy ten point margin, PPP surveyed people who voted McCain by 2. While it's not so pronounced as the also-flawed UNH poll, PPP still undersampled voters in the 18-29 group, with 10% whereas, for example, in 2004 that age range was 16% of the electorate. And, of course, PPP does not appear to have polled cell phone voters.
The UNH Survey Center results for the gubernatorial race are in. Nothing terribly surprising, given that we've already seen the crazy demographics in the house and senate polls. Giant registration edge given to Republicans (particularly in the 1st), dramatic undersample of 18-34, no cellphones, an implausibly large number of Tea Party supporters.
And even with all the edges that Andy Smith can manufacture, John Stephen still can't break 40%.
