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Son of 2010 General Election Results Thread

by: Dean Barker

Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 20:26:57 PM EDT
Here's WMUR's results page. You can click through it for down-ticket races as well.

And Politico's results map is not bad either.

Have at it.

UPDATE (9:12): The Politico site is calling it for Mystery Money Man.
Dean Barker :: Son of 2010 General Election Results Thread
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Son of 2010 General Election Results Thread | 66 comments
State Sen Mandy Merrill (D-Durham) wins re-election (4.00 / 4)
per Pindell alert.

birch, finch, beech
Hearing Larsen and Houde won as well. (4.00 / 3)


birch, finch, beech
[ Parent ]
Results from the East coast? (0.00 / 0)
Do you know numbers in Andover or Franklin, Dean? Feeling good about Matthew's lead in Hanover/Lebanon/Enfield, but won't be 100% until we know Franklin...

Change is inevitable, but progress is not. Working together, we can make sure that change = progress. And that's what makes us progressive...
[ Parent ]
Wish I could help. (0.00 / 0)
I stupidly relied on the results pages instead of getting a contact point in town, so I am in the dark as well on Andover and environs.

birch, finch, beech
[ Parent ]
Results From Portsmouth's Ward One: (4.00 / 1)
Ward One in Portsmouth, as well as all the city's wards, was open until 8:00 PM by order of the Secretary of State.  It had been announced in local media that the time was 7:00 PM, but about 20 more voters made it between 7:00 PM and 8:00 PM.  

Here are the results.  Ward One is a Democratic ward, and for comparison purposes I list some of the results of the 2008 election:

The turnout was about 43.7%, with 1,364 people voting out of a registration of 3,121.  There were 120 new voters signed up today:  51 Democrats, 13 Republicans, and 56 Undeclared.

November 2nd, 2010:

Governor:
John Stephen (R):  318
John Lynch (D):  995
Other:  38

U.S. Senate:
Kelly Ayotte  (R):  475
Paul Hodes  (D):  825
Other:  28

U.S. Congress
Frank Guinta (R):  376
Carol Shea-Porter (D):  916
Other:  42

Executive Council:
Chris Sununu (R):  427
Bev Hollingworth (D):  875

NH State Senate:
Nancy Stiles (R):  399
Martha Fuller-Clark (D):  917
Other:

NH House of Representatives:

Democrats:
Jackie Cali-Pitts:  791
Rich DiPentima:  744
Terie Norelli: 817
Laura Pantelakos:  908
Jim Powers:  785
Robin Read:  778
Chris Serlin:  764

Republicans:
Greg Bosselait:  321
Chris Burns:  359
Wayne Doherty:  361
Sue Polidura:  360
Jack Thorsen:  418

State Reps are elected from all of Portsmouth's 5 wards, and the Town of Newington.  The 7 Democratic candidates will win strongly.  
-----------------------------------

November 4, 2008:

President:
McCain-Palin (R):  580
Obama-Biden (D):  1,584
Other:  30

Governor:
Kenny (R):  346
Lynch (D):  1,722
Other:  49

U.S. Senate:
John E. Sununu (R):  619
Jeanne Shaheen (D):  1,434

U.S. Congress:
Jeb Bradley (R):  555
Carol Shea-Porter (D):  1,487

Executive Council:
Prescott (R):  497
Hollingworth (D):  1,409

NH  State Senate:
Callahan (R):  523
Martha Fuller-Clark (D):  1,481
Others:  2

NH House of Representatives:

Democrats:
Paul McEachern:  1,317
Laura Pantelakos:  1,353
Jim Splaine:  1,216
Terie Norelli:  1,168
Jackie Cali-Pitts:  1,145
Rich DiPentima:  1,134
Robin Read:  1,098

Republicans:  
Carroll:  496
J. Thorsen:  484
Goddard:  478
Burns:  468
M. Thorsen:  436
Hall:  417

Other:  26

For Portsmouth's Ward One, the Secretary of State registration list is as follows:

Democrats:  1,318
Republicans:  523
Undeclared:  1,161
Total:  3,001

Add to that 120 new voters today:  3121

The November 4th, 2008 registration for Portsmouth's Ward One was:

Democrats:  1,388
Republicans:  567
Undeclared:  1,219
Total:  3,174


VERY ROUGH PROJECTION: I think that Ann Kuster just beat Charlie Bass (4.00 / 1)
I'm using my 2002 election projection model for the 2nd CD, which uses data from 1990-2002 and doesn't account for the blue surge in small town NH in recent years.  But, even when taking that into account, I have Annie winning by a couple of points.

Don't want to get peoples' hopes up.  My model is dated.  But, unless Annie gets killed in blue-collar towns, I think that she will buck the trend by 2-4 points.

Cautionary Note (0.00 / 0)
Rindge was not good.  Will need to see a few more returns before I can validate any patterns.

[ Parent ]
Is Rindge ever good for the Dems? (0.00 / 0)

[ Parent ]
Comparing against past Dem performance in competitive races n/t (0.00 / 0)

[ Parent ]
We're seeing a pretty amazing GOTV in Cheshire. (0.00 / 0)
About 180 new registered voters in Ward 2, also big numbers in Ward 1.
[ Parent ]
The GOTV at the college was a good operation this year (0.00 / 0)
Best I've seen since I've tracked such things (2004?). Would like to know how many provisional ballots might be waiting in Ward 1.  


[ Parent ]
Please explain - (0.00 / 0)
In Ward 2 we had no "provisional ballots," and I've only heard the term in reference to voting in other states...
[ Parent ]
sorry meant affidavits (0.00 / 0)
which students often have to fill out. But I guess those votes are not counted separately then?


[ Parent ]
No. (0.00 / 0)
The vote registrant without other documentation signs an affadavit stating, "Yes: I am John Q. Doe and I was born Feb 17, 1990..." and/or "I live at 15 Drury Lane". The vote registrant is entered onto the checklist, gets a ballot. That ballot is cast like any other, without segregating it. That is: it is counted that evening, and there is no ability to "uncount" that specific ballot.

The law provides for someone to challenge a registrant: "I know that isn't John - John is my uncle!" or "That address is a gas station!"

I haven't seen any such challenges in the elections I've worked in.

[ Parent ]
Cautionary Note #2 (0.00 / 0)
Having a hard time reading this race. Annie seems to be cruising in the hamlets -- even blue collar ones like Milan -- but has gotten killed in the three largest towns that have reported thus far (Weare, Pittsfield, Rindge).  

My numbers still have Annie projecting out to a lead, but this one will probably come down to Nashua.  

(Note -- My model leverages competitive races from the '90s, including Swett '90, Rauh '92, Swett '94, Swett '96, Rauh '98, Brannen '00, and Shaheen '00.  Swett bias is because I built the thing for Katrina's '02 race.  So, obviously, it's considerably out of date, but still an interesting data point.  Will keep entering the 2nd CD numbers for the rest of the night.)

[ Parent ]
Annie swept Keene- (4.00 / 2)
every democratic candidate, in every category, won Keene!
[ Parent ]
Rand Paul wins; Christine O'Donnell loses (4.00 / 1)
Per Boston.com
I'm not a witch. (4.00 / 7)
I'm not a Senator, either.

I'm not really you, come to think of it.

birch, finch, beech

[ Parent ]
Manchin takes WV (4.00 / 3)
Phew!

birch, finch, beech
Watching PA and IL closely (4.00 / 1)
Those could make the difference between a tolerable night and a horrific one.  We need to nab one of 'em.
[ Parent ]
Laske loses (0.00 / 0)
Pindell has called Laske's State Senate race as a loss.
Uh oh. (0.00 / 0)
Politico is calling NH-01 for Guinta. Too early, or do we need to brace ourselves?

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!
UL says the AP agrees. N/T (0.00 / 0)

[ Parent ]
Kuster/Bass - Concord (0.00 / 0)
4 wards in, Annie has 58%.  This is a slight underperform (depending on which wards -- won't know until City Hall posts the results on the web site within the hour.)  

Still, while I would expect Annie to do better in Concord, this race has the makings of a later nighter.  Still think Nashua will decide it.

Polls open later in Connecticut (0.00 / 0)
Two hours later, I am reliably told.

^ (0.00 / 0)
PARTS of Connecticut, not the whole state.

Blumenthal at 52% with 5 percent in, per Boston.com. Open polls report is from the ground.

[ Parent ]
CT House seats held (0.00 / 0)
Obama's visit to Bridgeport Saturday put Jim Himes CT D4 back into office. A great hold for an Obama baby. CT-4 was R from 1968-2008! African American voters made the difference.
http://www.registercitizen.com...
Democrats sweep Connecticut congressional elections
HARTFORD (AP) - Connecticut's U.S. House delegation appeared likely to remain a Democrats-only club after Tuesday's elections.

Four of the five Democratic incumbents won re-election, and the fifth had declared victory, thwarting Republican hopes to take back one or possibly two seats.

Freshman U.S. Rep. Jim Himes had been thought to be in trouble in Fairfield County's 4th District, which had been held by Republicans from 1969-2008.

But he beat state Sen. Dan Debicella of Shelton after a battle in which both candidates tried to claim the middle ground.

Debicella had tried to portray Himes as a rubber stamp for President Barack Obama's policies and too liberal for Fairfield County.

But it may have been Obama who helped provide the margin of victory, hosting a huge rally in Bridgeport on Saturday, in an attempt to secure the party's urban base.



Annie 2012!
[ Parent ]
Kuster takes the lead! (4.00 / 1)
At least on the Politico map, so far.

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!
Jackie Cilley lost (0.00 / 0)
Suzanne Harvey (Nashua), Don Pettison (Brentwood) lost
Peggy Gilmour lost (0.00 / 0)

Hassan concedes, per Pindell alert. (0.00 / 0)


birch, finch, beech
Blumenthal still up by 5 (0.00 / 0)
With 16% counted.
Kuster-Bass Update (0.00 / 0)
Early Southern Tier results not looking good.  Hollis was below expectations, and Windham was a disaster for Kuster.

If this is a pattern, that's very bad. Annie needs Nashua.  

Ouch - Pelham (0.00 / 0)
Charlie wins Pelham by more than 2:1.  Not a Dem town, but Jeanne nearly beat Humphrey there in 2000.

Still feasible.  In addition to Nashua, Annie needs to clean up in Keene. . . . If anyone has ward-by-ward #s, that would be useful.

[ Parent ]
Martha Fuller Clark has lost (0.00 / 0)
Per Pindell...wow
My Sweet Lord n/t (0.00 / 0)

[ Parent ]
Natalie Portman wins Ohio seat (4.00 / 1)
Not a net loss anyway; an R already.
If *only* it was Natalie Portman.... (4.00 / 1)
..... a vocal Democrat.

 "We should pay attention to that man behind the curtain."
[ Parent ]
She'd be a Dem n/t (0.00 / 0)

[ Parent ]
Congratulations, Gov. Deval Patrick. (4.00 / 2)


birch, finch, beech
Called? (0.00 / 0)
It's been tightening, slightly.
[ Parent ]
MSNBC did (4.00 / 1)
They called MA-GOV a while ago. Politico still hasn't.

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!
[ Parent ]
Barney Frank wins (4.00 / 2)
Nearly all Mass. reps are cruising. Keating is in a relatively tight race against Perry but still leads by 8.

Barney was the one they really wanted, though.


I believe that voters get to choose the leaders of their government. (0.00 / 0)
I also believe that sometimes they choose very, very poorly.

This is one of those times.

--
@DougLindner

Mitchell choke collar loosened (0.00 / 0)
Niki Tsongas leads 55-42, roughly 18,000 votes ahead, with 69% counted.

It's nights like this... (0.00 / 0)
I seriously think we ought to take a lesson from Australia. Which is to say, mandatory voting. The primary good news so far is holding WV, things looking good at this point in PA and CO, and that in 2012 the broader electorate is going to be more engaged and Republicans will have had two years to remind everyone how thoroughly insane they are.

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!
I'll bet you John Tierney wins (0.00 / 0)
n/t
Anybody have a compilation... (0.00 / 0)
Of where the state house races are at this point? I could flip through all the pages on WMUR for those and add them up but I was hoping somebody else has it already collected.

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!
It's pretty bad (0.00 / 0)
We got our clocks cleaned in state senate, will end up with 4 or 5 senators, so I would guess house is also overwhelmingly lost.  



"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    
[ Parent ]
Question becomes... (0.00 / 0)
whether there's enough votes to prevent a veto override.

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!
[ Parent ]
Probably not n/t (0.00 / 0)




"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    
[ Parent ]
Ouch. (0.00 / 0)
Seriously, friggin' ouch.

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!
[ Parent ]
A very right wing legislature (0.00 / 0)
Really right wing. They are going to pass very bad legislation on choice, equality, education. They will think they won because of their ideology as opposed to the national mood.  



"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    
[ Parent ]
Hard to say (0.00 / 0)
given how anonymous many State House candidates are, but if the new Republican state representatives are anything like the majority of the party now, voters will be very surprised by how different these people are than the Republicans they may remember.  And I don't think they'll like the new version.
[ Parent ]
Lou! (4.00 / 2)
Lou has won, according to Pindell.  Whew!  Joe Kelly is one seriously unstable person.
Was just about to make note of it. (0.00 / 0)


birch, finch, beech
[ Parent ]
MA 10th getting tighter (0.00 / 0)
But Keating still ahead, with 90% in.

Called for Keating! (4.00 / 1)
Hurray!  



"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    
[ Parent ]
Just saw that (0.00 / 0)
Great news. "Perry Patriots," my elbow.
[ Parent ]
Colorado looks good (0.00 / 0)
We got that going for us!



"When you get to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on."  Franklin D. Roosevelt    
The cruellest non-NH cut. (4.00 / 3)
Feingold, gone.

He certainly annoyed me from time to time, but he's one of the few with integrity to spare.

birch, finch, beech

Rich Boucher and Jack Spratt (4.00 / 1)
Two longtime Blue Dogs who worked with party leaders to keep the caucus united on important legislation.

They were considered "liberal" by Southern standards.  Of course, Franco might meet that definition south of the Mason-Dixon line.  We'll see whether the South changes its views after it loses all of those Yankee tax dollars invested in its states.

[ Parent ]
Mitchell released on own reconaissance (4.00 / 1)
Niki Tsongas officially wins.

Though I suspect Jack is at Kuster HQ ...

Blumenthal! (4.00 / 1)
http://www.boston.com/news/loc...

McMahon, 62, is believed to have spent at least $50 million of her own money on her campaign.

Blumenthal isn't my favorite, but the thought that Linda McMahon was even contending was really unsetttling.

Does anyone (0.00 / 0)
have some insight regarding the executive council results? According to results at WMUR, Dems are losing all five
Could be (0.00 / 0)
Given the state house and state senate figures, that might be the case.

IT for John Lynch '04 and NHDP '08 - I'm liking my track record so far!
[ Parent ]
Son of 2010 General Election Results Thread | 66 comments

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