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New ARG Poll: Shaheen over Sununu, 57-29 | 25 comments
Shaheen's still not (4.00 / 2)
a real candidate and may be getting a little halo effect from people just remembering her fondly and thinking they like her better than Sununu.  Once she became a real prospect some might stray from her.  But better she get in with some time to make her case than that she get in already facing significant hostility.
[ Parent | ]
Yes, my one (major) criticism (4.00 / 2)
of this poll is the same one I had the last time back in March, i.e., that it's horribly unfair that we now have three candidates campaigning away, and communicating their message to anyone who will listen, fundraising and racking up endorsements, and ARG doesn't poll them, instead choosing to poll someone who will not even make a decision until September.

I think it is incumbent upon ARG to explain what they intend by polling Shaheen twice and no one else, or else they may face criticism from some quarters that they are doing Shaheen's or the DSCC's work for them.  It gives off a bad impression, whether it's a justified impression or not (and I have absolutely no way of knowing).

That said, the poll is still important news, imho.


Wonder if Sununu's fired now.

[ Parent | ]
I want to know too. (0.00 / 0)
This is my big question/problem with the ARG poll, especially in light of the Suffolk poll showing such low re-elect numbers for the sprinter.

It's great that the polled Shaheen, now how about everyone else?

[ Parent | ]
Not to Play Devil's Advocate, but. . . (0.00 / 0)
Shaheen is the only Democrat with substantial name recognition right now.  It is extremely early in the cycle:  Only insiders (like us) are paying attention, and Swett, Marchand, and Buckey have not yet had the opportunity to make their cases to voters.  Polling Buckey or Marchand would be like polling "generic Democratic candidate," whereas surveying Katrina (my choice) would glean more information about her husband's standing than her own.

The poll's greatest value is as evidence of Sununu's vulnerability.  But it clearly overstates its case, and no one should assume that this race is in the bag (or anywhere close).

[ Parent | ]
It doesn't "clearly overstate" (0.00 / 0)
given that the Suffolk University poll also showed Sununu with only 31% believing he "deserves re-election."

There's no point in looking at data if we immediately discount it because our gut says different.

But, agreed, everyone needs to campaign hard.

[ Parent | ]
New ARG Poll: Shaheen over Sununu, 57-29 | 25 comments
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