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Like Getting the Paper a Week Early (Except for Salem)

by: Dean Barker

Sun Nov 30, 2008 at 21:22:31 PM EST


Kevin Landrigan has no use for my amateur advice that to win NH-02 you no longer have to center on Nashua and environs:
Horn was a first-time candidate, but her base of support and some name recognition along the southern tier helped her win several southern New Hampshire towns, including Amherst and Hollis (both narrowly), Litchfield, Brookline, Mason, New Ipswich, Pelham, Windham and Salem.
If I may add a footnote to that: in six of the towns mentioned, Paul Hodes, who beat Horn in her own home base of Nashua, improved his performance from 2006.  In three of them significantly so: Litchfield (+3.7%), Pelham (+4.3%), and Salem (+3.7%). And furthermore, Paul flipped Nashua-bordering Hudson (+3.3%), a town that Bass took two years ago.

Somehow, in my original diary, I left out Salem (since fixed).  With 13,748 total votes cast, that was a huge omission on my part, and for Hodes to do almost 4 points better in such a big place in one cycle is great news.  Though Mr. Landrigan is correct: Ms. Horn captured that populous southern tier treasure - by 34 whole votes.

p.s. Click here for Part I of this miniseries.

p.p.s. Landrigan's PAC analysis, from the same column, is actually pretty interesting, and worth a read.

Dean Barker :: Like Getting the Paper a Week Early (Except for Salem)
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The PAC analysis was very disturbing (4.00 / 2)
In part I was bothered that Landrigan presented it in such a deeply cynical frame. Every PAC was described as "betting right" or "wrong". There was no room for the possibility that some PACs may have contributed to candidates entirely based on their own policy views. And some PACs did seem to fund candidates of just one party, including long shots.

But most PACs seemed to fund likely winners - and some funded both candidates in a race.

The New Hampshire State Senate is an ethics scandal waiting to happen. It costs way too much to mount a campaign, and its small size tends to make it less transparent than many other bodies.



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