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It's early, but I look forward to hearing what other www.BlueHampshire.com posters have to say about the potential candidates for offices. Since I'm a fan of both Ann Kuster and Carol Shea-Porter, I see the "action" for 2012 mostly in the Governor's race. Democrats are wealthy in that we have a strong "bench" developing.
Since November, 2012 is just 563 days from now, or just over 80 weeks, it's not too early to consider their strengths or lack thereof. Here are some of my initial thoughts, in no specific order:
1. John Lynch. John Lynch should run for a 5th term. While I didn't support his first race for the nomination -- I supported a lifelong friend, two-time Democratic Gubernatorial nominee Paul McEachern in 2004, Lynch has impressed me greatly. McEachern didn't win in 2004, but I think he made John Lynch a better candidate, who went on to smash then-Governor Craig .... I forget his name.
Last November was John Lynch's toughest election, but he won, and he won well, and he won with class. And thank goodness. Can you imagine today, with this right-wing Legislature, if it was "Governor Stephen" or "Governor Kimball?" John Lynch saved us from all that. And his vetoes of horrible bills during the next few months, and next year too, will protect the lives of real people who would otherwise be hurt by some horrible legislation. By those vetoes, Lynch will feel a renewed spirit of purpose and need. He can win big in November, 2012. Let's draft him.
Former Portsmouth mayor Steve Marchand on Republican gubernatorial candidate John Stephen's "First in the Nation" plan:
"It was disturbing to me that his plan would result in dramatic decreases in aid to local government, which means dramatic increases to local property taxes - the highest we have ever seen as a state... To make a statement like this without really any specifics as to how to do it - as somebody who knows the numbers, it almost certainly means dramatic increases in local property taxes."
I will note here, selfishly, that a stimulus package that includes a dramatically low mortgage interest rate (such as 4.5%) would have a dramatic impact on the consumer spending (or, more realistically, keeping afloat with rising prices of other structural payments such as property taxes and food) of me and millions of other homeowners. So that's really all I want for Christmas, Santa.
Adding: the details Obama offers on his infrastructure initiatives practically leave me in tears. What a change from throwing money down Halliburton's gaping maw. And I couldn't help, when the President-Elect talked about making public buildings more energy-efficient, but think back on when Steve Marchand showed Obama around Portsmouth's new green library. Go Steve!
* Thanks to our blue majority, usurious pay-day loan companies like Advance America will soon only be allowed to charge ridiculously high interest rates instead of Satanically evil ones.
* Despite widespread support (including AG Kelly Ayotte) for the aforementioned legislation, Bob Clegg was quick to defend the practice of predatory lending, with what must be one of the most bizarre self-admissions I've ever heard coming from a gubernatorial congressional candidate:
Sen. Bob Clegg recounted times of struggle in the 1970s and 1980s when he had to turn to the "black market" to tide him over. "You can fail, or you can take another chance," said Clegg, a Hudson Republican. "My position, I took another chance."
He would be too embarrassed to go to a welfare office, he said, and would rather "stand tall, make my deal with them and then make my payments because that keeps me a man."
The bill's supporters include Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, Banking Commissioner Peter Hildreth, the AARP and several welfare administrators around the state.
You know, I've been through plenty of very difficult financial straits in my time, but I don't recall ever making a trip to the black market to preserve my manhood. Is that some kind of Republican thing?
* Adam Leech has a cute writeup of Republican Sandi Henniquin and Democrat Steve Marchand, and how they keep from killing each other:
During the New Hampshire primary season, campaign signs for Bill Richardson and John McCain were cozied together on the front lawn of their Cass Street home. Nightly news watching jumps between FOX, and MSNBC depending on who has the clicker and who falls asleep first (typically Sandi, on both counts). Their dog, a Corgi, is named "Reagan," and the next dog will be named "Truman." (Both hold veto power over their pets' names, ensuring neither would be named Bush or Clinton.)
* Does anyone else find it odd that ex-Sununu staffer Grant Bosse has been in the race for the NH-02 seat for a week, and his old boss John E. hasn't endorsed him yet?
* Quite possibly the most ridiculous thing ever written about me and my kind. Right-wing bloggers try to explain away why conservative blogs are teh suck:
Erick Erickson, editor of the popular conservative megablog RedState, conceded that progressives currently enjoy an advantage over conservatives online-though he attributed it to an asymmetry in free time, since conservatives "have families because we don't abort our kids, and we have jobs because we believe in capitalism."
* Phone-jammer James Tobin really really really really doesn't want to go to jail, because, you know, IOKIYAR.
* Does anyone remember what it was like to trust what President's say? When I heard Bush announce that we were going to shoot down our errant spy satellite because of, essentially, environmental safety concerns, I didn't buy it for a minute. And neither do the folks who actually know about that stuff.
* (Non-political) Remember these guys? Turns out that too clever by half 80's eccentrics don't fade away - they just have kids and know how to entertain them with nifty free podcasts:
Monday afternoon, I publicly announced my support of Gov. Bill Richardson for President. As Democrats, we are very fortunate - this is, in my opinion, the deepest field of presidential candidates since at least 1992. That said, we live at a time when we have many difficult challenges ahead of us. How we exit Iraq in a way that leaves the region with the best chance of stability. How we create a 21st century economy based on domestic, diverse, and sustainable energy sources. How we assure universal access to quality health care, irrespective of one's socioeconomic status. How we strengthen our economy to ensure the growth of the middle class, and the long-term solvency of Social Security and Medicare. Protection of our civil liberties, and a woman's right to choose. The list goes on - and I believe Bill Richardson is the person best equipped to address these challenges, and reverse the course set by the Bush Administration. See why below the fold...
(Hoping Marchand came come on to BH and talk to us about his reasons... until then, thanks Doug! - promoted by Mike Caulfield)
Steve Marchand endorsed Bill Richardson for President today, adding to a list of endorsements including Manchester's last Democratic Mayor Bob Baines (2000-2005), Fmr. NHDP Chair Jeff Woodburn, and Fmr. Ambassador/Fmr. NHDP Chair George Bruno.
The Richardson campaign's press release after the jump (I don't know how to do the fancy blockquote thing)
I've heard this posed before, but it can't be asked enough, and good for Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand for bringing it front and center. Why hasn't Senator Sununu said a word about the phone jamming crime committed by high-ranking Republicans expressly for his benefit?
"If I were in Sununu's shoes, I would have denounced the activity right away," Marchand said. "That's the minimal first step to prevent it from happening again. Few things can damage the democratic process more than suppressing the push to get out the vote."
Chuck McGee, the former state GOP executive director, served seven months in federal prison. Allen Raymond, the president of GOP Marketplace in Virginia, pleaded guilty and received a five-month sentence. Shaun Hansen of Idaho pleaded guilty in the related federal criminal case.
"I agree with Steve Marchand," said Norelli, who is also a co-chair of the Shaheen campaign. "Even if an elected official is not responsible for the behavior, they should make it clear they think it is unacceptable. It's speculation to say how much it affected the outcome. The fact is, it was illegal, and voters were disenfranchised."
Lawyer Paul Twomey represented the state Democratic Party in its phone-jamming lawsuit against the GOP, which settled for $125,000 about a year ago.
"We didn't get to the end of the trail in our litigation," Twomey said at the time.
Sununu press secretary Barbara Riley could not be reached for comment before deadline.
I dare say the only time we may ever hear John E. mention the crime that helped him get elected might be if he's forced to respond during a debate a year from now.
Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand is, as he himself put it, "an avid reader of Blue Hampshire since its inception." I know this to be true, not just because he started posting here back in early April, but also because one of the first emails I ever received about BH came from him in late 2006. In other words, Steve gets the netroots, and when a local outpost of it cropped up in the Granite State, he interacted with it intuitively for his (at the time) nascent senate run.
It's hard to believe how much has happened since then. Steve outperformed my expectations, winning me over in support and picking up a slew of endorsements, including another favorite of mine, Gary Hirshberg. And true to his pledge, he withdrew from the race when Governor Shaheen entered a few weeks ago.
It's clear to me that Steve's tireless work on the senate race has done much to bring Sununu's failed record to more Granite staters, and, more importantly, before the nonsense of silly season campaigning kicks in. If we end up replacing the Sprinter, a great share of the thanks will go to Steve for this work.
So now that the fundraising quarter has ended, and you've given to the active candidates, I'm asking you to dig deeper still and consider helping Steve out by retiring his campaign debt. This is from a supporter letter I recently received:
The majority of our debt is in unpaid salary to my outstanding campaign staff. We owe nothing to big-name consultants or advertising companies, just an honest debt to dedicated people that have worked tirelessly to ensure that our message of fiscal and social responsibility resonates across New Hampshire.
I can't tell you how much debt is left to retire, because I have no idea, but you can give to Steve through his former campaign site, SteveMarchand.com, to help get rid of it. I just did.
(Submitted by me using my admin superpowers since Chaz is having log-in issues. The diary is his, and I added some tags. - Dean)
This quote from New York Senator Charles "Chuck" Schumer, the Chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is the single most tone deaf statement I've heard from a Democrat all year.
"Jeanne Shaheen will be a great candidate and a great Senator. We are excited that someone who represents the best of New Hampshire and American values is our candidate for the Senate."
Senator Schumer, In New Hampshire "our candidate" means the one who gets the most votes in OUR primary.
I've been preaching peace and love amongst Democrats since last year and usually think the world of Senator Schumer, but he blundered badly this time.
I'd like put this into perspective because there is much more here than meets the eye. This is also a thorny issue to write about publicly. Guaranteed, I'll end up in more than one dog house, but I just can't ignore it.
I'd like to start with a disclaimer. I have neither endorsed nor worked exclusively for any candidate in either the presidential primary or in the eventual U.S. Senate Primary races. New Hampshire's year in and year out political cycles can eat you up if you don't take a break and I'm taking mine now. I've made myself available to everyone, my phone rings constantly and I accept invites to meetings and events. I'm peaceful and happy with that arrangement. Amen.
That said, I've been following Steve Marchand, Katrinna Swett and Jay Buckey's campaigns for John Sununu's Senate seat with great interest. I've met them all and have heard them all speak on a number of occasions. Like a lot of NH Democrats this year I've felt blessed with our line up. And like almost everyone, I expected Jeanne Shaheen to jump in and she did. Already Steve Marchand has dropped out and the whole dynamic has changed in an instant.
Since Jeanne Shaheen's announcement I've been hearing a lot of grousing from progressives that she is an "annoited" candidate. Frankly I've been pushing back hard against that accusation. Kathy Sullivan lead the "draft Shaheen" effort. As a matter of record I talked with Kathy early on and urged her to "go for it." Everything has been public and fair in my opinion.
There's also been a National Blog making the rounds that is portraying the Shaheen Candidacy as an insider deal and an afront to the net roots who still want all the credit for winning in 06. The author lives in Pennsylvania. I guess he doesn't know that Bill Shaheen helped upstart Carol Shea-Porter after she won last years primary. Bill Shaheen and Jim Craig became co chairs of that campaign. They were a class act. I watched Bill Shaheen crunch numbers on election night. He was into it. Can we please give credit where credit is due?
So, I didn't buy into that one completely either. I voiced my opinion on e-lists and not all of my friends are happy with me. (I dunno-maybe I like the dog house.)
So this morning all this was a dead issue for me. Then I read Chuck Schumer's quote.
It was almost forgivable that Representative Rahm Emanuel blew it so badly when the DCCC ignored Carol Shea Porter and endorced Jim Craig last year. He just didn't know what he was getting into. Its one thing to toss money at a candidate, but to make believe another doesn't even exist can backfire. Rahm Emanuel energized the heck out of Carol's supporters and it just about killed Jims chances. The newpapers were all over that story too. It was big news here. Rahm Emanuel is a good man and a relentless worker for Democrats and I know he now "gets it."
That's why Senator Schumers miscalculation is so jarring.
I'm not sure what Katrinna Swett is going to do in the next few days, but I do know that Jay Buckey is staying in the race.
But regardless of what happens Senator Schumer's statement is an insult to Katrinna Swett and her supporters and to Jay Buckey and his supporters.
But the worst insult is to every Democrat in New Hampshire.
On a personal and political basis, I like Steve Marchand. I've seen him "operate" through the years, back aways on the Gubernatorial candidates of Jim Normand and Mark Fernald, then his own races for Portsmouth City Council, the most recent resulting in topping the ballot and thus becoming Mayor. In the meantime, he's managed, or been involved in, other campaigns -- including Senators Martha Fuller Clark and Maggie Hassen, and Executive Councilor Bev Hollingworth. A decent record of success, I'd say.
I've especially appreciated the way he goes about campaigning for himself and others, and I've watched that carefully. He is like a laser in identifying an opponent's flaws, but knows how to keep attacks non-personal and to-the-issue. He works hard to clearly explain the differences between himself or those candidates he's supporting, and the opponent -- without just being negative. I wish more politics was like that.
Steve has a political future that shines like a sunrise. I supported him in his races for Portsmouth City Council, and I've written in Blog posts about his accomplishments as our Mayor. I also was an early endorser of his United States Senate candidacy, taking him at his word that if Jeanne Shaheen decided she could give it a run, he would withdraw. Word made. Word kept. And keeping one's word is very important in politics.
It is unfortunate that Steve is ending his tenure as Mayor by not filing his candidacy for reelection this past week, anticipating that Shaheen would not run and he'd stay in the U.S. Senate race. However, he has a couple of terms on the Portsmouth City Council and two years as Mayor on his record, plus: that word made, and that word kept.
In politics, all that is important stuff.
Steve's stated bottom-line goal of his now-ended candidacy, for those who like bottom-lines, was to bring change to government. Well, he's accomplished that already. He and the other candidates who have been running for U.S. Senate these past few months have traveled the state reminding people of the not-so-good things our current Senator has done. There are many.
I personally like John E. Sununu -- I met him years ago when his father was Governor and I was in the State Senate, and I've talked with him numerous times when he was a Congressperson and since he joined the Senate. But I think he's mastered, unfortunately, the ability to be one man here, and another one in Washington. WYSINWYG - - What You See Is Not What You Get.
And often what we see anyway isn't very logical or open-minded.
With Jeanne Shaheen, who you see is what she is. And that's a courageous yet invaluable trait for someone involved in politics.
I'm going to pre-empt Nick and put up September's Senate Straw Poll. The three main reasons are these: a) we seem to have forgotten this feature in August (my apologies), b) when Steve Marchand was in the race, he was dominant, so I'm really curious to see where his support is going, and c) I'd like to set a baseline of support for the candidates with the knowledge that Shaheen is in the race but without yet knowing much about her candidacy. That should make October's version of this, when we will know much more, an interesting comparison.
As before, this poll is only for declared candidates. If you have another undeclared candidate in mind, it would be great, but not required, to let us know who that "Other" is in the comments.
You also have to be a registered user to participate in the poll, but signing up is free and easy, so it's well worth it to know where our Blue Hamsters stand at the moment.
(PORTSMOUTH, NH) - Continuing his commitment to bringing leadership for New Hampshire values, Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand today announced his withdrawal from the 2008 US Senate race, and his support of former Governor Jeanne Shaheen, who entered the race on Friday.
"I am very proud of the campaign we've run, which has always focused on bringing positive change to Washington," said Marchand. "From ending the war in Iraq, to bringing affordable health care to all Americans, to being the global leader on 21st century energy policy, to restoring fiscal discipline, our message of fiscal and social responsibility is a real New Hampshire message."
"This has been a true grassroots effort," continued Marchand. "To all those who have supported me in this effort: thank you. I am honored and grateful for the support of hundreds of activists, and the endorsements of over 60 state representatives, multiple state senators, and many city and county chairs. We have had successful fundraising efforts, and polling shows me in a statistical tie with John Sununu today. There is no doubt that we can compete with Senator Sununu. However, this seat is too important to the state and the nation to do anything less than put up New Hampshire's strongest candidate for 2008."
"Jeanne Shaheen is our strongest candidate to defeat John Sununu in 2008. Her commitment to the same principles that I have fought for during this campaign will make her a tremendous Senator for New Hampshire and the nation. I am proud to support her in all her efforts."
There had been some talk about a withdrawal today and an endorsement later. This seems more crisp.
Steve - Don't be a stranger. Looking forward to your next campaign.
Update by Dean: Shaheen responds (from an email release):
"Steve Marchand has run an energetic and passionate campaign to take this Senate seat back from the special interests and return it to the people of New Hampshire. I am grateful and humbled to have his support."
The news that former Governor Jeanne Shaheen will likely announce her candidacy for the United States Senate seat now temporarily held by John E. Sununu is good news for New Hampshire, and good news for America.
It means real change in Washington is on the way. In just about 68 weeks!
I've been supporting Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand, with the expectation that if Shaheen did decide to run he would withdraw his candidacy. New Hampshire Democrats need the best chance to replace Sununu, and it's clear that either John Lynch or Jeanne Shaheen would be that best chance. Steve knows that too, and the news is he's expected to end his Senate bid. He's a class act who knows a lot is at stake for our nation in the 2008 election.
I have read and heard some comments by Democrats who oppose a Shaheen candidacy, and some have asked me why I am excited about a Shaheen candidacy. It was fairly well known that the good Governor and I had battled over the repeal of the death penalty back in 2000, when I was primary sponsor of the legislation that she vetoed after it passed both the House and Senate. We also had our rather public disagreements over tax reform issues.
But those are exactly that -- disagreements over some issues. In the case of Jeanne Shaheen, I agree with her much more than I disagree, and I have no question that her character, her leadership, and her vision is what New Hampshire and America needs, We need those qualities now and in 2008 even more than when she was Governor or in 2002, when she narrowly lost against guess whom -- John Sununu (can you say "phone scam?")
If people wouldn't vote for or support others just because they disagree, even if passionately at times, on a few issues, then no one would be supporting anyone. Jeanne Shaheen gets my vote because she's earned it through the years. And, she's simply a good person, which accounts for a whole lot in my book.
For much of what she has done through the years, dating back to her time in the NH State Senate, Jeanne Shaheen is a hero to me. And right now we need heroes in Washington, who will do good things like bringing our courageous soldiers home from Iraq, and working toward better education and health care for all.
In the meantime, all Democrats should express appreciation to Steve Marchand for taking on the challenge of a candidacy to beat a Republican who shouldn't be in the U.S. Senate. If Katrina Swett and Jay Buckey remain in the race, we should all respect that -- but Jeanne Shaheen deserves a rematch. Bring it on!
Forty-nine percent of people overall, and 43 percent of people with insurance said they were "somewhat" to "completely" unprepared to cope with a costly medical emergency over the coming year. Some 16 percent of the people surveyed had no health plan at all, including many working respondents whose jobs didn't offer insurance or who couldn't afford the premiums of deductibles of the available plan.
When added to the population of "uninsured" - approximately 16% of the population - a total of 40% of Americans ages 18-64 have, at best, inadequate access to health care. The report, published in the September issue, also finds that most employers are struggling to keep up while the insurance behemoths prosper from the misery.
In the first of a series of reports on America's health care crisis, Consumer Reports paints a profile of the "underinsured," explains what it means to be insured but not adequately covered, and tells of the costs and consequences for everyone, including people who are currently "well insured." The report is based on a survey conducted by the Consumer Reports National Research Center in May 2007, which sampled 2,905 Americans between ages 18 and 64. The survey found evidence of increasing frailty in the U.S. system of health insurance on almost all fronts.
C'mon, Consumer Reports! Stop complaining about health care. And don't look to government for a solution. Because our government is run by people who don't believe in it, yet who enjoy taxpayer funded premiere health care plan at our expense.
John E. Sununu, New Castle, yesterday:
The senator spoke of the upcoming presidential election and the desire of many "liberal Democrats" to socialize medicine and have the government take over health care. Sununu cautioned against having the government involved in running the health care system.
Steve Marchand, whose briefly uninsured parents were faced with an $80,000 medical bill due to an unexpected crisis (a horror story which drew gasps at the campaign event I attended in Hanover), is not amused. From a new press release:
Touting "the principles, the philosophies, [and] the beliefs" he shares with Bush, Sununu called for more of the Bush agenda in 2008.
"The Sununu-Bush agenda has produced the war in Iraq, a record national debt, and millions more uninsured Americans," said U.S. Senate candidate, Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand. "Americans don't want more of the same. We can't afford more of the same."
[Crossposted at Daily Kos, MyDD, OpenLeft, SwingStateProject]
I just wanted to share my thanks to everyone involved with Yearly Kos in Chicago this past weekend. It was a great event and an excellent opportunity to meet many of the folks here at BlueHampshire face-to-face for the first time. We'll be sharing more videos of our campaign events and my thoughts on the issues over the coming months.
No Exit?
Are we and Gov. Shaheen in for a surprise come next September? Cited earlier on BH, but from a new article on Katrina Swett in the Monitor:
While Marchand has repeatedly said he'll leave the race if Shaheen gets in, Swett's campaign has kept mum on that question. Quinn emphasized Swett's friendship with Shaheen but declined to say whether Swett would exit the race if the former governor entered.
And what was that about Marchand?
Democrat Steve Marchand is looking more and more like a Senate candidate who doesn't plan to exit the race under any circumstances. His stated position is that if Shaheen gets in, he'll get out.
But Marchand has now hired prominent consulting firms:
-- Media: Tom Ochs and John Lapp of McMahon, Squier, Lapp. Lapp is a former executive director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and Ochs handled Dean's race for chair of the DNC.
-- Direct mail: Ed Peavy and Adnaan Muslim of Mission Control, LLC, who worked on Hodes's campaign last year.
-- Polling: Jill Normington of Bennett, Petts and Normington, who has worked for many Democratic House members and candidates.
And Jay Buckey made it clear earlier that he's not interested in leaving after a Shaheen announcement.
As much as I would love a positive, competitive primary that would drive down Sununu's chances of winning even further, I remain skeptical of my dream coming true. Though I do note that no issue has been made in the press about a Stephen-Bradley primary in the one race the state elephants (wrongly) think they have a shot at.
No Challenger?
Not yet, anyway, for Paul Hodes. While Carol Shea-Porter has made Karl Roves' super special target list, the head of the RNCC has no takers for the second district so far, according to Granite Status. And Charlie Bass 'aint biting:
"I haven't ruled anything out, but, frankly, I think that if the election were held today, the outcome might be worse for me than it was last November. I'm not making any decisions at this point."
If Bob Novak is correct, then John Sununu must be looking for a new pair of pants. The Prince of Darkness is reporting that Former Governor Jean Shaheen is very likely to enter the Senate race.
There's a new piece in Real Clear by Reid Wilson on the serious trouble the Sprinter's in. I encourage you all to take a look and let us know your take on it.
My favorite part of the article is the title of this post, as opined by ARG pollster Dick Bennett. The other is that it makes clear that, yes, Shaheen is trouncing him in the polls, but also, and in my opinion more telling for John E., that the other declared candidates, especially Marchand and Swett, are polling within the MoE over a year out and with little name rec. Of course we all know that here, but to hear it mentioned in a nationally read piece will help to underscore the Sprinter's true vulnerability.
Kathy Sullivan is quoted in the piece making a point that I think is obvious to us Blue Hamsters, but seeing it written made me think:
Sullivan... says Shaheen's political organization is the same being used by Lynch and New York Senator Hillary Clinton.
My one major quibble? The relative clause "[Sununu], whom few view as an extremist conservative."
I don't know about that one. I mean, denying that climate change has to do with humans, voting to abolish the minimum wage, Terry Schiavo, telling us to be quiet about health care costs, voting in lockstep with Bush on Iraq time and time again... those things wwigh a lot more heavily to me than suggesting Gonzo ought to leave voluntarily.
This is cool, because I only seem to hear about special elections after they're already over. From Steve Marchand to my inbox:
Jim Webber is running to fill the vacant House seat in the Rockingham 14 House District, encompassing the towns of Hampton Falls, South Hampton, Seabrook and Kensington.
A co-founder of the Kensington Democrats, Jim has worked alongside folks like you and me to make a real difference in New Hampshire. His experience as a management consultant, his commitment to the environment, and his support for reproductive rights make Jim Webber the right person to serve his district in Concord.
Steve has highlighted a canvass on Saturday, a phonebank on Monday, and a GOTV on Tuesday (election day).
Click on "There's More" for details, as well as some new endorsement news.
